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Tropical Storm Pena

Tropical Storm 46 mph (40 kt) · 1002 hPa · W at 12 mph (10 kt)

CPHC Advisory 1 · 6 Nov 21:00Z

Historical advisory selected · current imagery and impacts are not attached

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CPHC forecast for Tropical Storm Pena, Advisory 1; rendered by MaverickWX

Published advisory track · Advisory 1

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ⓘ About this map

The cone describes center uncertainty; impacts can extend outside it.

Basemap

MaverickWX map · Data: NOAA/NHC · not an official graphic

Change time or forecast product

Recorded weather · gaps are marked. Coverage begins with recording activation.

Live sources keep independent clocks.

Replay coverage and interpretation

Rolling target: 24 hours; cells: six hours. Radar: NOAA MRMS national overview, 8-minute tolerance. Satellite: original GOES GeoColor day/night picture, hourly sampling, 75-minute tolerance. No interpolation or latest-image fallback. Warning and source checks retain their own clocks. “Recorded by” is collector acquisition evidence, not exact browser publication history.

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Analysis

Area, source times and interpretation

Current cached context, independently dated. Regional products keep their published footprint; they are not clipped or attributed to one storm. This section remains separate from the historical replay cursor and official cyclone forecast. Use Forecast to pin a retained model package.

Soundings: what weather balloons measured

SPC’s skew-T diagram and hodograph of the sounding at Grand Junction, CO (GJT), 12Z. Its levels are in the table below. — Observed Sounding at Grand Junction, CO (GJT), for 12:00Z (2 h 6 min ago). SPC’s graphic; the values in its panels (CAPE, shear, the indices) are SPC’s computations from these levels. Data: NOAA/SPC.

A balloon launched about an hour before the time named, measuring as it rose and drifted with the wind: the atmosphere above one place, at one time. Model soundings, which are forecasts, are not shown here.

The levels this sounding was drawn from (54)

Grand Junction, CO (GJT): the surface first, then up through the atmosphere. Temperature and dew point in °C, as measured.
Pressure	Height	Temperature	Dew point	Wind
859 mb	1475 m	5.6	1.7	090° 6 kt
850 mb	1561 m	7.2	1.2	125° 13 kt
829 mb	1768 m	8.6	0.6	—
807 mb	1990 m	8.0	0.0	—
793 mb	2134 m	7.2	-0.1	095° 1 kt
773 mb	2344 m	6.4	-0.6	—
759 mb	2494 m	6.2	-1.8	—
745 mb	2647 m	6.4	-3.6	—
724 mb	2881 m	6.0	-7.0	—
709 mb	3048 m	5.4	-7.4	260° 11 kt
700 mb	3157 m	5.0	-9.0	260° 12 kt
683 mb	3353 m	3.5	-11.5	250° 12 kt
672 mb	3488 m	2.4	-12.6	—
658 mb	3658 m	1.0	-12.9	265° 15 kt
647 mb	3793 m	-0.1	-13.1	—
633 mb	3962 m	-1.0	-15.6	255° 11 kt
609 mb	4267 m	-2.5	-20.2	235° 14 kt
586 mb	4572 m	-4.1	-24.8	235° 9 kt
573 mb	4754 m	-5.3	-25.3	—
542 mb	5182 m	-7.8	-28.7	255° 11 kt
521 mb	5486 m	-9.5	-31.1	250° 22 kt
510 mb	5658 m	-10.5	-32.5	—
500 mb	5810 m	-11.5	-33.5	245° 26 kt
483 mb	6074 m	-13.5	-36.5	—
469 mb	6298 m	-15.1	-36.1	—
444 mb	6706 m	-18.0	-37.3	260° 26 kt
426 mb	7010 m	-20.6	-39.0	260° 25 kt
409 mb	7315 m	-23.4	-40.9	260° 27 kt
400 mb	7480 m	-24.9	-41.9	260° 26 kt
381 mb	7832 m	-27.7	-42.7	—
360 mb	8230 m	-31.1	-43.9	245° 28 kt
345 mb	8534 m	-33.9	-44.4	250° 32 kt
330 mb	8839 m	-36.7	-44.9	250° 32 kt
316 mb	9144 m	-39.3	-46.6	250° 33 kt
304 mb	9410 m	-41.3	-49.3	—
300 mb	9500 m	-41.9	-49.9	250° 35 kt
289 mb	9754 m	-43.7	-53.1	255° 36 kt
264 mb	10363 m	-48.0	-58.9	255° 40 kt
252 mb	10668 m	-50.4	-57.9	260° 40 kt
250 mb	10710 m	-50.7	-57.7	260° 35 kt
240 mb	10973 m	-52.7	-59.3	260° 36 kt
229 mb	11278 m	-55.0	-61.2	260° 34 kt
218 mb	11582 m	-57.3	-63.0	260° 40 kt
208 mb	11887 m	-59.5	-64.7	260° 38 kt
200 mb	12130 m	-61.5	-66.2	260° 38 kt
190 mb	12446 m	-64.1	-68.5	—
179 mb	12802 m	-65.5	-70.4	260° 41 kt
168 mb	13193 m	-66.7	-71.6	—
150 mb	13880 m	-64.7	-72.7	260° 48 kt
139 mb	14326 m	-63.1	-72.7	265° 50 kt
126 mb	14935 m	-63.4	-74.8	280° 36 kt
114 mb	15545 m	-65.3	-78.6	270° 36 kt
103 mb	16154 m	-66.8	-81.5	265° 32 kt
100 mb	16350 m	-67.3	-82.3	265° 36 kt

Every station with a sounding (76)

SPC observed soundings checked 14:00Z · Data: NOAA/SPC

Impacts

No supported U.S. monitoring area

Coastal alertsNot retained with this historical record Flooding rainOfficial rainfall context and coverage Storm surgeAvailability and coastal-only product limits Warnings in monitored areaNWS coverage unavailable here; not a global all-clear

Official forecast table

Forecast points

CPHC Advisory 1 · advisory 6 Nov 21:00Z · forecast cycle 6 Nov 18:00Z. Forecast positions are future estimates, not observed imagery. Classification is shown only where published.

Published official forecast; no interpolated positions or winds
Valid time / lead	Position	Classification	Sustained wind
6 Nov 18:00Z +0 h from forecast cycle	11.2°N, 149.6°W	Tropical storm	46 mph (40 kt)
6 Nov 21:00Z +3 h from forecast cycle	11.3°N, 150.1°W	Tropical storm	46 mph (40 kt)
7 Nov 06:00Z +12 h from forecast cycle	11.5°N, 151.8°W	Tropical storm	52 mph (45 kt)
7 Nov 18:00Z +24 h from forecast cycle	11.4°N, 153.9°W	Tropical storm	58 mph (50 kt)
8 Nov 06:00Z +36 h from forecast cycle	11.3°N, 155.8°W	Tropical storm	58 mph (50 kt)
8 Nov 18:00Z +48 h from forecast cycle	11.3°N, 157.8°W	Tropical storm	58 mph (50 kt)
9 Nov 06:00Z +60 h from forecast cycle	11.2°N, 159.7°W	Tropical storm	58 mph (50 kt)
9 Nov 18:00Z +72 h from forecast cycle	11.0°N, 161.8°W	Tropical storm	58 mph (50 kt)
18:00Z +96 h from forecast cycle	11.3°N, 165.9°W	Tropical storm	58 mph (50 kt)
11 Nov 18:00Z +120 h from forecast cycle	11.9°N, 171.4°W	Tropical storm	58 mph (50 kt)

Advisory history and records

Advisory history

Return to latest advisory

Each entry selects one immutable snapshot. Intermediate, special and corrected records are separate identities where retained. Current NWS context is labelled separately. Historical impact manifests are not retained by this index; newer impacts are never attached to an earlier advisory. Same-time corrections replaced in the publisher’s index cannot be selected unless still listed.

Advisory history; retained records only
Official issuance	Revision kind	Record
CPHC Unnumbered state · 12:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 1b3d972c
CPHC Advisory 15 · 09:00Z	advisory	Snapshot d09d1ec3
CPHC Unnumbered state · 06:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 0abb013b
CPHC Advisory 14 · 03:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 6ab29e69
CPHC Unnumbered state · 00:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 0bcec4c9
CPHC Advisory 13 · 9 Nov 21:00Z	advisory	Snapshot f9ae50f7
CPHC Unnumbered state · 9 Nov 18:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 7c8b78ee
CPHC Advisory 12 · 9 Nov 15:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 0a3a81cd
CPHC Unnumbered state · 9 Nov 12:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 20477de4
CPHC Advisory 11 · 9 Nov 09:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 1dbe26fd
CPHC Unnumbered state · 9 Nov 06:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 5f4e816f
CPHC Advisory 10 · 9 Nov 03:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 0bcae4ab
CPHC Unnumbered state · 9 Nov 00:00Z	advisory	Snapshot d9b6706d
CPHC Advisory 9 · 8 Nov 21:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 23b015f2
CPHC Unnumbered state · 8 Nov 18:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 7081a2c1
CPHC Advisory 8 · 8 Nov 15:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 9cccd530
CPHC Unnumbered state · 8 Nov 12:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 72fa3e5c
CPHC Advisory 7 · 8 Nov 09:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 9d4bd068
CPHC Unnumbered state · 8 Nov 06:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 34f11ed6
CPHC Advisory 6 · 8 Nov 03:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 7b6af387
CPHC Unnumbered state · 8 Nov 00:00Z	advisory	Snapshot feb3dd6a
CPHC Advisory 5 · 7 Nov 21:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 056a0eb5
CPHC Unnumbered state · 7 Nov 18:00Z	advisory	Snapshot e296178e
CPHC Advisory 4 · 7 Nov 15:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 8e23913e
CPHC Unnumbered state · 7 Nov 12:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 9ce314ee
CPHC Advisory 3 · 7 Nov 09:00Z	advisory	Snapshot f167fe92
CPHC Unnumbered state · 7 Nov 06:00Z	advisory	Snapshot b161830f
CPHC Advisory 2 · 7 Nov 03:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 6eb780c9
CPHC Unnumbered state · 7 Nov 00:00Z	advisory	Snapshot c16d8efc
CPHC Advisory 1 · 6 Nov 21:00Z	first	Snapshot 5be09be7 · Selected

Monitoring geography

Area: None: no U.S. state or territory is under NHC’s coastal watches or warnings or inside the cone, Advisory 1
Coastal watches and warnings: none in a U.S. state · Cone: crosses no U.S. state
Hazards: —
Window: In force now, with this advisory’s forecast
Made by: CPHC’s own products, as this site’s pipeline published them, read again with each new advisory. Watch another area

The storm’s area, by its warning centre’s products: everything listed is in force in this area, never “from this storm”.

All published products and source descriptions

Forecast track

The official forecast track, drawn by this site from CPHC’s Advisory 1 (21:00Z). Not an official CPHC product. Data: NOAA/NHC. CPHC’s own.

Wind speed probabilities

NHC’s wind speed probabilities are not reported for this advisory.

NHC’s coastal watches and warnings

The advisory’s watches and warnings are not reported.

Intensity forecast

The official intensity forecast, drawn by this site from CPHC’s Advisory 1 (21:00Z). Not an official CPHC product. Data: NOAA/NHC. CPHC’s own.

Satellite

The storm’s page shows it on the satellite, loaded by your browser.

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Imagery from NASA GIBS: NOAA GOES and JMA Himawari.

Model guidance

The models’ tracks, which are not a forecast for Tropical Storm Pena, CPHC Advisory 1

The models’ tracks, which are not a forecast, drawn by this site from CPHC’s Advisory 1 (21:00Z). Not an official CPHC product. Data: NOAA/NHC. CPHC’s own.

Radar

NOAA’s radar for the area, loaded by your browser as on the Radar page.

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Details

CPHC Advisory 1 · 6 Nov 21:00Z

Center position: 11.3°N, 150.1°W
Minimum pressure: 1002 hPa
Maximum sustained wind: 46 mph (40 kt)
Movement: W at 12 mph (10 kt)
Since the advisory compared: Comparison unavailable

Read official advisory (CPHC) ↗

Forecast cycle 6 Nov 18:00Z. Center position belongs to the official state’s time, not imagery time.

Map layers

Lightning activity — GOES GLM

Public event region Aggregation interval Show density on map

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Coverage and interpretation

Total lightning, including in-cloud activity. Not ground-strike locations or a safe-to-go-outside signal.

Cached lightning source details and text readings

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Advisory comparison

Comparison unavailable: no different, earlier retained advisory was selected or published.

None: no U.S. state or territory is under NHC’s coastal watches or warnings or inside the cone, Advisory 1. Current geographical context; these alerts are not attributed to the cyclone and are not part of the historical advisory.

Data coverage

NHC/CPHC track, coastal alerts, probabilities and wind timing retain separate coverage and issuance.

Geographic context: Natural Earth boundaries and representative place labels. Radar coverage is limited offshore. Satellite pixels keep their source palette and actual observation time. Missing imagery is not clear weather.

No supported U.S. NWS monitoring area for this advisory. This does not mean no warnings worldwide.

Sources

CPHC advisory, as published checked 14:04Z
Radar live tiles, no last-good copy

Not an official warning service. Warnings and watches are the National Weather Service’s, outlooks and reports the Storm Prediction Center’s and the Weather Prediction Center’s (Data: NOAA/NWS, NOAA/SPC, NOAA/WPC). When a warning is issued for you, act on it, and use weather.gov or a NOAA Weather Radio for where you are.

Outside NWS coverageTropical Storm Pena

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14:06Z