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Tropical Storm Pena

Tropical Storm 52 mph (45 kt) · 1000 hPa · W at 12 mph (10 kt)

CPHC Advisory 3 · 7 Nov 09:00Z

Historical advisory selected · current imagery and impacts are not attached

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CPHC forecast for Tropical Storm Pena, Advisory 3; rendered by MaverickWX

Published advisory track · Advisory 3

Observed imagery loads separately from the advisory. The base map is not observed satellite imagery.

ⓘ About this map

The cone describes center uncertainty; impacts can extend outside it.

Basemap

MaverickWX map · Data: NOAA/NHC · not an official graphic

Change time or forecast product

Recorded weather · gaps are marked. Coverage begins with recording activation.

Live sources keep independent clocks.

Replay coverage and interpretation

Rolling target: 24 hours; cells: six hours. Radar: NOAA MRMS national overview, 8-minute tolerance. Satellite: original GOES GeoColor day/night picture, hourly sampling, 75-minute tolerance. No interpolation or latest-image fallback. Warning and source checks retain their own clocks. “Recorded by” is collector acquisition evidence, not exact browser publication history.

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Choose Forecast for a pinned issuance and valid time.

Analysis

Area, source times and interpretation

Current cached context, independently dated. Regional products keep their published footprint; they are not clipped or attributed to one storm. This section remains separate from the historical replay cursor and official cyclone forecast. Use Forecast to pin a retained model package.

Soundings: what weather balloons measured

SPC’s skew-T diagram and hodograph of the sounding at Aberdeen, SD (ABR), 00Z. Its levels are in the table below. — Observed Sounding at Aberdeen, SD (ABR), for 00:00Z (12 h 40 min ago). SPC’s graphic; the values in its panels (CAPE, shear, the indices) are SPC’s computations from these levels. Data: NOAA/SPC.

A balloon launched about an hour before the time named, measuring as it rose and drifted with the wind: the atmosphere above one place, at one time. Model soundings, which are forecasts, are not shown here.

The levels this sounding was drawn from (57)

Aberdeen, SD (ABR): the surface first, then up through the atmosphere. Temperature and dew point in °C, as measured.
Pressure	Height	Temperature	Dew point	Wind
971 mb	396 m	14.4	0.4	295° 6 kt
948 mb	598 m	14.4	-2.5	305° 22 kt
938 mb	687 m	13.9	-3.5	305° 24 kt
926 mb	795 m	13.3	-4.7	315° 24 kt
925 mb	804 m	13.2	-4.8	315° 24 kt
914 mb	904 m	12.7	-7.6	320° 26 kt
882 mb	1202 m	10.8	-12.4	345° 26 kt
862 mb	1393 m	9.5	-15.3	350° 28 kt
850 mb	1509 m	8.4	-15.6	350° 28 kt
837 mb	1635 m	7.3	-16.1	350° 27 kt
802 mb	1985 m	4.4	-17.6	—
791 mb	2096 m	3.6	-19.3	350° 21 kt
774 mb	2271 m	2.4	-21.9	345° 21 kt
726 mb	2785 m	-1.2	-29.7	305° 26 kt
705 mb	3019 m	-1.4	-40.9	320° 29 kt
700 mb	3076 m	-1.3	-44.3	320° 33 kt
688 mb	3214 m	-0.5	-49.5	—
669 mb	3436 m	-1.0	-45.0	295° 36 kt
642 mb	3763 m	-3.4	-35.9	300° 34 kt
617 mb	4074 m	-5.8	-43.6	290° 36 kt
607 mb	4201 m	-6.7	-47.1	295° 39 kt
589 mb	4436 m	-8.5	-53.5	—
563 mb	4780 m	-11.3	-46.3	290° 41 kt
534 mb	5184 m	-14.5	-37.9	285° 37 kt
519 mb	5401 m	-16.3	-33.3	—
507 mb	5576 m	-17.3	-28.7	275° 43 kt
500 mb	5680 m	-17.9	-25.9	275° 48 kt
486 mb	5892 m	-18.1	-21.8	—
475 mb	6063 m	-19.2	-23.8	285° 62 kt
454 mb	6397 m	-21.8	-26.2	290° 61 kt
441 mb	6610 m	-23.1	-28.2	290° 62 kt
429 mb	6812 m	-23.9	-30.9	290° 61 kt
412 mb	7106 m	-25.2	-34.2	285° 64 kt
400 mb	7320 m	-26.3	-36.3	285° 70 kt
388 mb	7540 m	-28.1	-38.1	285° 81 kt
376 mb	7765 m	-30.0	-40.3	285° 85 kt
350 mb	8274 m	-33.2	-46.0	285° 92 kt
336 mb	8559 m	-35.7	-47.3	285° 94 kt
315 mb	9007 m	-39.7	-48.7	280° 93 kt
300 mb	9340 m	-42.5	-50.5	285° 97 kt
289 mb	9589 m	-44.8	-52.2	285° 98 kt
273 mb	9964 m	-47.4	-55.4	290° 99 kt
254 mb	10437 m	-50.1	-60.1	285° 104 kt
250 mb	10540 m	-51.1	-61.1	285° 103 kt
231 mb	11052 m	-55.7	-65.7	285° 101 kt
221 mb	11334 m	-57.7	-66.7	—
210 mb	11655 m	-60.3	-68.3	280° 103 kt
200 mb	11960 m	-62.1	-70.1	280° 101 kt
188 mb	12338 m	-64.3	-71.7	280° 100 kt
176 mb	12739 m	-64.6	-72.4	280° 94 kt
157 mb	13439 m	-61.7	-72.7	—
150 mb	13720 m	-61.9	-73.9	280° 67 kt
140 mb	14149 m	-61.2	-74.3	280° 73 kt
128 mb	14704 m	-62.0	-76.0	280° 70 kt
114 mb	15418 m	-64.5	-80.5	—
103 mb	16039 m	-64.9	-82.9	—
100 mb	16220 m	-65.1	-83.1	285° 45 kt

Every station with a sounding (76)

SPC observed soundings checked 12:30Z · Data: NOAA/SPC

Impacts

No supported U.S. monitoring area

Coastal alertsNot retained with this historical record Flooding rainOfficial rainfall context and coverage Storm surgeAvailability and coastal-only product limits Warnings in monitored areaNWS coverage unavailable here; not a global all-clear

Official forecast table

Forecast points

CPHC Advisory 3 · advisory 7 Nov 09:00Z · forecast cycle 7 Nov 06:00Z. Forecast positions are future estimates, not observed imagery. Classification is shown only where published.

Published official forecast; no interpolated positions or winds
Valid time / lead	Position	Classification	Sustained wind
7 Nov 06:00Z +0 h from forecast cycle	11.3°N, 151.8°W	Tropical storm	52 mph (45 kt)
7 Nov 09:00Z +3 h from forecast cycle	11.4°N, 152.4°W	Tropical storm	52 mph (45 kt)
7 Nov 18:00Z +12 h from forecast cycle	11.4°N, 153.9°W	Tropical storm	58 mph (50 kt)
8 Nov 06:00Z +24 h from forecast cycle	11.4°N, 155.7°W	Tropical storm	63 mph (55 kt)
8 Nov 18:00Z +36 h from forecast cycle	11.2°N, 157.5°W	Tropical storm	69 mph (60 kt)
9 Nov 06:00Z +48 h from forecast cycle	11.2°N, 159.2°W	Tropical storm	69 mph (60 kt)
9 Nov 18:00Z +60 h from forecast cycle	11.2°N, 160.9°W	Tropical storm	69 mph (60 kt)
06:00Z +72 h from forecast cycle	11.3°N, 162.9°W	Tropical storm	69 mph (60 kt)
11 Nov 06:00Z +96 h from forecast cycle	11.6°N, 167.3°W	Hurricane	75 mph (65 kt)
12 Nov 06:00Z +120 h from forecast cycle	12.9°N, 173.4°W	Hurricane	75 mph (65 kt)

Advisory history and records

Advisory history

Return to latest advisory

Each entry selects one immutable snapshot. Intermediate, special and corrected records are separate identities where retained. Current NWS context is labelled separately. Historical impact manifests are not retained by this index; newer impacts are never attached to an earlier advisory. Same-time corrections replaced in the publisher’s index cannot be selected unless still listed.

Advisory history; retained records only
Official issuance	Revision kind	Record
CPHC Unnumbered state · 12:00Z	advisory	Snapshot b9e9c2ae
CPHC Advisory 15 · 09:00Z	advisory	Snapshot d09d1ec3
CPHC Unnumbered state · 06:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 0abb013b
CPHC Advisory 14 · 03:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 6ab29e69
CPHC Unnumbered state · 00:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 0bcec4c9
CPHC Advisory 13 · 9 Nov 21:00Z	advisory	Snapshot f9ae50f7
CPHC Unnumbered state · 9 Nov 18:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 7c8b78ee
CPHC Advisory 12 · 9 Nov 15:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 0a3a81cd
CPHC Unnumbered state · 9 Nov 12:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 20477de4
CPHC Advisory 11 · 9 Nov 09:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 1dbe26fd
CPHC Unnumbered state · 9 Nov 06:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 5f4e816f
CPHC Advisory 10 · 9 Nov 03:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 0bcae4ab
CPHC Unnumbered state · 9 Nov 00:00Z	advisory	Snapshot d9b6706d
CPHC Advisory 9 · 8 Nov 21:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 23b015f2
CPHC Unnumbered state · 8 Nov 18:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 7081a2c1
CPHC Advisory 8 · 8 Nov 15:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 9cccd530
CPHC Unnumbered state · 8 Nov 12:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 72fa3e5c
CPHC Advisory 7 · 8 Nov 09:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 9d4bd068
CPHC Unnumbered state · 8 Nov 06:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 34f11ed6
CPHC Advisory 6 · 8 Nov 03:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 7b6af387
CPHC Unnumbered state · 8 Nov 00:00Z	advisory	Snapshot feb3dd6a
CPHC Advisory 5 · 7 Nov 21:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 056a0eb5
CPHC Unnumbered state · 7 Nov 18:00Z	advisory	Snapshot e296178e
CPHC Advisory 4 · 7 Nov 15:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 8e23913e
CPHC Unnumbered state · 7 Nov 12:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 9ce314ee
CPHC Advisory 3 · 7 Nov 09:00Z	advisory	Snapshot f167fe92 · Selected
CPHC Unnumbered state · 7 Nov 06:00Z	advisory	Snapshot b161830f
CPHC Advisory 2 · 7 Nov 03:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 6eb780c9
CPHC Unnumbered state · 7 Nov 00:00Z	advisory	Snapshot c16d8efc
CPHC Advisory 1 · 6 Nov 21:00Z	first	Snapshot 5be09be7

Monitoring geography

Area: None: no U.S. state or territory is under NHC’s coastal watches or warnings or inside the cone, Advisory 3
Coastal watches and warnings: none in a U.S. state · Cone: crosses no U.S. state
Hazards: —
Window: In force now, with this advisory’s forecast
Made by: CPHC’s own products, as this site’s pipeline published them, read again with each new advisory. Watch another area

The storm’s area, by its warning centre’s products: everything listed is in force in this area, never “from this storm”.

All published products and source descriptions

Forecast track

The official forecast track, drawn by this site from CPHC’s Advisory 3 (09:00Z). Not an official CPHC product. Data: NOAA/NHC. CPHC’s own.

Wind speed probabilities

NHC’s wind speed probabilities are not reported for this advisory.

NHC’s coastal watches and warnings

The advisory’s watches and warnings are not reported.

Intensity forecast

The official intensity forecast, drawn by this site from CPHC’s Advisory 3 (09:00Z). Not an official CPHC product. Data: NOAA/NHC. CPHC’s own.

Satellite

The storm’s page shows it on the satellite, loaded by your browser.

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Imagery from NASA GIBS: NOAA GOES and JMA Himawari.

Model guidance

The models’ tracks, which are not a forecast for Tropical Storm Pena, CPHC Advisory 3

The models’ tracks, which are not a forecast, drawn by this site from CPHC’s Advisory 3 (09:00Z). Not an official CPHC product. Data: NOAA/NHC. CPHC’s own.

Radar

NOAA’s radar for the area, loaded by your browser as on the Radar page.

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Drawn live: if the radar fails, nothing older is shown in its place.

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Details

CPHC Advisory 3 · 7 Nov 09:00Z

Center position: 11.4°N, 152.4°W
Minimum pressure: 1000 hPa
Maximum sustained wind: 52 mph (45 kt)
Movement: W at 12 mph (10 kt)
Since the advisory compared: Wind 0 kt · pressure 0 hPa
Compared with Best track · 7 Nov 06:00Z

Read official advisory (CPHC) ↗

Forecast cycle 7 Nov 06:00Z. Center position belongs to the official state’s time, not imagery time.

Map layers

Lightning activity — GOES GLM

Public event region Aggregation interval Show density on map

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Coverage and interpretation

Total lightning, including in-cloud activity. Not ground-strike locations or a safe-to-go-outside signal.

Cached lightning source details and text readings

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Advisory comparison

Show previous forecast as a dashed line

Solid: Advisory 3 · 7 Nov 09:00Z
Dashed: Best track · 7 Nov 06:00Z

Compare positions and intensity

Solid: CPHC Advisory 3 · 7 Nov 09:00Z
Dashed: CPHC Best track · 7 Nov 06:00Z. Comparison uses each record’s own geometry. A revision is not a landfall or impact prediction.

Current-state revision (two separate official issuances)
Field	Selected issuance	Comparison issuance	Change
Maximum sustained wind	52 mph (45 kt)	52 mph (45 kt)	0 kt
Minimum pressure	1000 hPa	1000 hPa	0 hPa
Center position	11.4°N, 152.4°W	11.3°N, 151.8°W	Different observation times; not a forecast shift

Forecast comparison unavailable: these records have no matching forecast valid times. No interpolation or six-hour step is assumed.

None: no U.S. state or territory is under NHC’s coastal watches or warnings or inside the cone, Advisory 3. Current geographical context; these alerts are not attributed to the cyclone and are not part of the historical advisory.

Data coverage

NHC/CPHC track, coastal alerts, probabilities and wind timing retain separate coverage and issuance.

Geographic context: Natural Earth boundaries and representative place labels. Radar coverage is limited offshore. Satellite pixels keep their source palette and actual observation time. Missing imagery is not clear weather.

No supported U.S. NWS monitoring area for this advisory. This does not mean no warnings worldwide.

Sources

CPHC advisory, as published checked 12:39Z
Radar live tiles, no last-good copy

Not an official warning service. Warnings and watches are the National Weather Service’s, outlooks and reports the Storm Prediction Center’s and the Weather Prediction Center’s (Data: NOAA/NWS, NOAA/SPC, NOAA/WPC). When a warning is issued for you, act on it, and use weather.gov or a NOAA Weather Radio for where you are.

Outside NWS coverageTropical Storm Pena

Check local warning authorities.

12:40Z