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Tropical Storm Pena

Tropical Storm 40 mph (35 kt) · 1004 hPa · W at 14 mph (12 kt)

CPHC Best track · 12:00Z

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CPHC forecast for Tropical Storm Pena, Best track; rendered by MaverickWX

Published advisory track · Best track

Observed imagery loads separately from the advisory. The base map is not observed satellite imagery.

ⓘ About this map

The cone describes center uncertainty; impacts can extend outside it.

Basemap

MaverickWX map · Data: NOAA/NHC · not an official graphic

Change time or forecast product

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Replay coverage and interpretation

Rolling target: 24 hours; cells: six hours. Radar: NOAA MRMS national overview, 8-minute tolerance. Satellite: original GOES GeoColor day/night picture, hourly sampling, 75-minute tolerance. No interpolation or latest-image fallback. Warning and source checks retain their own clocks. “Recorded by” is collector acquisition evidence, not exact browser publication history.

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Analysis

Area, source times and interpretation

Current cached context, independently dated. Regional products keep their published footprint; they are not clipped or attributed to one storm. This section remains separate from the historical replay cursor and official cyclone forecast. Use Forecast to pin a retained model package.

Soundings: what weather balloons measured

SPC’s skew-T diagram and hodograph of the sounding at Albuquerque, NM (ABQ), 12Z. Its levels are in the table below. — Observed Sounding at Albuquerque, NM (ABQ), for 12:00Z (2 h 7 min ago). SPC’s graphic; the values in its panels (CAPE, shear, the indices) are SPC’s computations from these levels. Data: NOAA/SPC.

A balloon launched about an hour before the time named, measuring as it rose and drifted with the wind: the atmosphere above one place, at one time. Model soundings, which are forecasts, are not shown here.

The levels this sounding was drawn from (60)

Albuquerque, NM (ABQ): the surface first, then up through the atmosphere. Temperature and dew point in °C, as measured.
Pressure	Height	Temperature	Dew point	Wind
844 mb	1619 m	6.6	1.9	015° 1 kt
832 mb	1737 m	10.0	3.0	—
817 mb	1888 m	9.6	2.6	205° 1 kt
806 mb	2000 m	9.5	1.8	calm
796 mb	2103 m	9.1	1.1	025° 3 kt
783 mb	2239 m	8.1	-0.6	010° 5 kt
768 mb	2398 m	8.1	-0.2	355° 9 kt
749 mb	2604 m	7.0	0.0	—
735 mb	2758 m	7.4	-2.6	—
720 mb	2927 m	6.6	-5.4	—
700 mb	3157 m	5.0	-7.0	110° 4 kt
688 mb	3298 m	4.6	-9.6	115° 5 kt
677 mb	3429 m	4.2	-12.6	160° 3 kt
658 mb	3660 m	2.4	-13.3	205° 2 kt
642 mb	3859 m	0.6	-12.4	—
631 mb	3997 m	-0.2	-15.2	300° 5 kt
615 mb	4202 m	-1.3	-19.3	335° 8 kt
604 mb	4346 m	-2.1	-22.2	315° 7 kt
594 mb	4480 m	-2.9	-24.9	—
582 mb	4642 m	-2.3	-28.3	—
569 mb	4821 m	-3.0	-30.9	055° 6 kt
553 mb	5046 m	-4.7	-29.7	045° 10 kt
531 mb	5364 m	-7.5	-29.5	—
520 mb	5527 m	-8.7	-32.2	030° 6 kt
509 mb	5692 m	-9.9	-34.9	—
500 mb	5830 m	-10.7	-31.7	080° 5 kt
489 mb	5997 m	-12.1	-32.3	060° 7 kt
474 mb	6231 m	-14.2	-33.3	060° 10 kt
459 mb	6472 m	-16.4	-34.3	065° 9 kt
437 mb	6840 m	-19.8	-35.8	040° 9 kt
425 mb	7048 m	-21.7	-36.7	—
411 mb	7293 m	-23.5	-39.2	025° 10 kt
400 mb	7490 m	-25.1	-41.1	020° 14 kt
389 mb	7692 m	-26.7	-41.7	—
377 mb	7918 m	-28.1	-43.9	025° 13 kt
367 mb	8111 m	-29.5	-44.5	—
355 mb	8347 m	-31.3	-44.7	015° 13 kt
344 mb	8571 m	-32.9	-44.9	030° 13 kt
333 mb	8799 m	-34.8	-46.2	030° 14 kt
323 mb	9011 m	-36.6	-47.6	015° 15 kt
308 mb	9340 m	-39.3	-50.3	—
300 mb	9520 m	-40.3	-52.3	005° 12 kt
289 mb	9772 m	-42.3	-53.3	—
269 mb	10250 m	-46.3	-56.4	060° 5 kt
257 mb	10550 m	-48.7	-58.7	020° 7 kt
250 mb	10730 m	-49.9	-59.9	015° 6 kt
236 mb	11104 m	-51.9	-62.5	310° 3 kt
226 mb	11383 m	-53.5	-64.4	255° 11 kt
215 mb	11702 m	-55.8	-66.2	285° 19 kt
204 mb	12035 m	-57.8	-67.8	305° 24 kt
200 mb	12160 m	-58.3	-68.3	315° 22 kt
188 mb	12550 m	-58.9	-67.9	—
173 mb	13072 m	-60.9	-69.9	305° 19 kt
162 mb	13481 m	-61.3	-71.2	295° 29 kt
150 mb	13960 m	-62.5	-72.5	280° 30 kt
138 mb	14473 m	-63.7	-73.7	280° 29 kt
128 mb	14933 m	-65.2	-75.2	270° 37 kt
117 mb	15477 m	-67.3	-76.4	265° 28 kt
106 mb	16070 m	-68.1	-79.5	255° 33 kt
100 mb	16420 m	-68.1	-80.1	290° 41 kt

Every station with a sounding (76)

SPC observed soundings checked 14:00Z · Data: NOAA/SPC

Impacts

No supported U.S. monitoring area

Coastal alertsNo coastal alerts issued in this advisory Flooding rainOfficial rainfall context and coverage Storm surgeAvailability and coastal-only product limits Warnings in monitored areaNWS coverage unavailable here; not a global all-clear

Official forecast table

Forecast points

CPHC Best track · advisory 12:00Z · forecast cycle 06:00Z. Forecast positions are future estimates, not observed imagery. Classification is shown only where published.

Published official forecast; no interpolated positions or winds
Valid time / lead	Position	Classification	Sustained wind
06:00Z +0 h from forecast cycle	11.7°N, 163.3°W	Tropical storm	40 mph (35 kt)
09:00Z +3 h from forecast cycle	11.7°N, 163.9°W	Tropical storm	40 mph (35 kt)
18:00Z +12 h from forecast cycle	11.5°N, 165.6°W	Tropical storm	40 mph (35 kt)
11 Nov 06:00Z +24 h from forecast cycle	11.2°N, 167.7°W	Tropical storm	40 mph (35 kt)
11 Nov 18:00Z +36 h from forecast cycle	11.1°N, 170.2°W	Tropical storm	40 mph (35 kt)
12 Nov 06:00Z +48 h from forecast cycle	11.3°N, 173.3°W	Tropical storm	40 mph (35 kt)
12 Nov 18:00Z +60 h from forecast cycle	11.8°N, 176.3°W	Tropical storm	40 mph (35 kt)
13 Nov 06:00Z +72 h from forecast cycle	12.3°N, 179.4°W	Tropical storm	40 mph (35 kt)
14 Nov 06:00Z +96 h from forecast cycle	13.1°N, 175.2°E	Tropical storm	40 mph (35 kt)
15 Nov 06:00Z +120 h from forecast cycle	13.5°N, 171.1°E	Tropical storm	40 mph (35 kt)

Advisory history and records

Advisory history

Return to latest advisory

Each entry selects one immutable snapshot. Intermediate, special and corrected records are separate identities where retained. Current NWS context is labelled separately. Historical impact manifests are not retained by this index; newer impacts are never attached to an earlier advisory. Same-time corrections replaced in the publisher’s index cannot be selected unless still listed.

Advisory history; retained records only
Official issuance	Revision kind	Record
CPHC Unnumbered state · 12:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 1b3d972c · Selected
CPHC Advisory 15 · 09:00Z	advisory	Snapshot d09d1ec3
CPHC Unnumbered state · 06:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 0abb013b
CPHC Advisory 14 · 03:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 6ab29e69
CPHC Unnumbered state · 00:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 0bcec4c9
CPHC Advisory 13 · 9 Nov 21:00Z	advisory	Snapshot f9ae50f7
CPHC Unnumbered state · 9 Nov 18:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 7c8b78ee
CPHC Advisory 12 · 9 Nov 15:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 0a3a81cd
CPHC Unnumbered state · 9 Nov 12:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 20477de4
CPHC Advisory 11 · 9 Nov 09:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 1dbe26fd
CPHC Unnumbered state · 9 Nov 06:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 5f4e816f
CPHC Advisory 10 · 9 Nov 03:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 0bcae4ab
CPHC Unnumbered state · 9 Nov 00:00Z	advisory	Snapshot d9b6706d
CPHC Advisory 9 · 8 Nov 21:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 23b015f2
CPHC Unnumbered state · 8 Nov 18:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 7081a2c1
CPHC Advisory 8 · 8 Nov 15:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 9cccd530
CPHC Unnumbered state · 8 Nov 12:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 72fa3e5c
CPHC Advisory 7 · 8 Nov 09:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 9d4bd068
CPHC Unnumbered state · 8 Nov 06:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 34f11ed6
CPHC Advisory 6 · 8 Nov 03:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 7b6af387
CPHC Unnumbered state · 8 Nov 00:00Z	advisory	Snapshot feb3dd6a
CPHC Advisory 5 · 7 Nov 21:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 056a0eb5
CPHC Unnumbered state · 7 Nov 18:00Z	advisory	Snapshot e296178e
CPHC Advisory 4 · 7 Nov 15:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 8e23913e
CPHC Unnumbered state · 7 Nov 12:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 9ce314ee
CPHC Advisory 3 · 7 Nov 09:00Z	advisory	Snapshot f167fe92
CPHC Unnumbered state · 7 Nov 06:00Z	advisory	Snapshot b161830f
CPHC Advisory 2 · 7 Nov 03:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 6eb780c9
CPHC Unnumbered state · 7 Nov 00:00Z	advisory	Snapshot c16d8efc
CPHC Advisory 1 · 6 Nov 21:00Z	first	Snapshot 5be09be7

Monitoring geography

Area: None: no U.S. state or territory is under NHC’s coastal watches or warnings or inside the cone, Best track
Coastal watches and warnings: none in a U.S. state · Cone: crosses no U.S. state
Hazards: —
Window: In force now, with this advisory’s forecast
Made by: CPHC’s own products, as this site’s pipeline published them, read again with each new advisory. Watch another area

The storm’s area, by its warning centre’s products: everything listed is in force in this area, never “from this storm”.

All published products and source descriptions

Forecast track

The official forecast track, drawn by this site from CPHC’s Best track (12:00Z). Not an official CPHC product. Data: NOAA/NHC. CPHC’s own.

Wind speed probabilities

Chance of sustained wind of at least 34, 50 and 64 knots, by place
Place	34 kt	50 kt	64 kt
10n 170w	9%	—	—
10n 175w	4%	—	—

NHC’s chance of sustained wind of at least each speed at each place it lists, through 15 Nov 06:00Z; the places with the highest chance of 34 kt first. Issued 09:00Z. Data: NOAA/NHC. NHC’s table.

NHC’s coastal watches and warnings

NHC has no coastal watch or warning in effect for this storm.

In NHC’s words, Best track, issued 12:00Z. The areas NHC names, in the United States and abroad; for a place outside the United States its national service is the warning authority. Data: NOAA/NHC. NHC’s advisory.

Intensity forecast

The official intensity forecast, drawn by this site from CPHC’s Best track (12:00Z). Not an official CPHC product. Data: NOAA/NHC. CPHC’s own.

Satellite

The storm’s page shows it on NASA GIBS (NOAA GOES, JMA Himawari)’s imagery, loaded by your browser. GOES-West at 27° from the storm's meridian.

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Imagery from NASA GIBS: NOAA GOES and JMA Himawari.

Model guidance

The models’ tracks, which are not a forecast for Tropical Storm Pena, CPHC Best track

The models’ tracks, which are not a forecast, drawn by this site from CPHC’s Best track (12:00Z). Not an official CPHC product. Data: NOAA/NHC. CPHC’s own.

Radar

NOAA’s radar for the area, loaded by your browser as on the Radar page.

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Details

CPHC Best track · 12:00Z

Center position: 11.2°N, 164.2°W
Minimum pressure: 1004 hPa
Maximum sustained wind: 40 mph (35 kt)
Movement: W at 14 mph (12 kt)
Since the advisory compared: Wind 0 kt · pressure 0 hPa
Compared with Best track · 9 Nov 18:00Z

Read official track data ↗Official discussion ↗

Forecast cycle 06:00Z. Center position belongs to the official state’s time, not imagery time.

Map layers

Lightning activity — GOES GLM

Public event region Aggregation interval Show density on map

Cached lightning observations have not loaded. An empty map is not zero lightning.

Coverage and interpretation

Total lightning, including in-cloud activity. Not ground-strike locations or a safe-to-go-outside signal.

Cached lightning source details and text readings

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Advisory comparison

Compare with

Show previous forecast as a dashed line

Solid: Best track · 12:00Z
Dashed: Best track · 9 Nov 18:00Z

Compare positions and intensity

Solid: CPHC Best track · 12:00Z
Dashed: CPHC Best track · 9 Nov 18:00Z. Comparison uses each record’s own geometry. A revision is not a landfall or impact prediction.

Current-state revision (two separate official issuances)
Field	Selected issuance	Comparison issuance	Change
Maximum sustained wind	40 mph (35 kt)	40 mph (35 kt)	0 kt
Minimum pressure	1004 hPa	1004 hPa	0 hPa
Center position	11.2°N, 164.2°W	11.5°N, 160.7°W	Different observation times; not a forecast shift

Forecast comparison unavailable: these records have no matching forecast valid times. No interpolation or six-hour step is assumed.

None: no U.S. state or territory is under NHC’s coastal watches or warnings or inside the cone, Best track. Current geographical context; these alerts are not attributed to the cyclone.

Data coverage

NHC/CPHC track, coastal alerts, probabilities and wind timing retain separate coverage and issuance.

Geographic context: Natural Earth boundaries and representative place labels. Radar coverage is limited offshore. Satellite pixels keep their source palette and actual observation time. Missing imagery is not clear weather.

No supported U.S. NWS monitoring area for this advisory. This does not mean no warnings worldwide.

Sources

CPHC best track, as published down · last read 14:04Z, 2 min ago
Radar live tiles, no last-good copy

Not an official warning service. Warnings and watches are the National Weather Service’s, outlooks and reports the Storm Prediction Center’s and the Weather Prediction Center’s (Data: NOAA/NWS, NOAA/SPC, NOAA/WPC). When a warning is issued for you, act on it, and use weather.gov or a NOAA Weather Radio for where you are.

Outside NWS coverageTropical Storm Pena

Check local warning authorities.

14:07Z