Forecast track
The official forecast track, drawn by this site from CPHC’s Best track (). Not an official CPHC product. Data: NOAA/NHC. CPHC’s own.
STORM MODEWeather tracking workspace
Disturbance Pena
Current advisory context · Disturbance 35 mph (30 kt) · 1006 hPa
CPHC Best track ·
Advisory delayed · last complete issuance
Published advisory track · Best track
Observed imagery loads separately from the advisory. The base map is not observed satellite imagery.
ⓘ About this map
The cone describes center uncertainty; impacts can extend outside it.
Basemap
MaverickWX map · Data: NOAA/NHC · not an official graphic
Live sources keep independent clocks.
Recorded weather · gaps are marked. Coverage begins with recording activation.
Replay coverage and sources
Rolling target: 24 hours; cells: six hours. Radar: NOAA MRMS over the contiguous U.S., 8-minute tolerance. Satellite: original GOES GeoColor day/night picture of the Americas and the western Atlantic, hourly sampling, 75-minute tolerance. A picture is offered only where it covers the area. No interpolation or latest-image fallback. Warning and source checks retain their own clocks. “Recorded by” is collector acquisition evidence, not exact browser publication history.
Current GLM density, velocity and specialist layers are hidden during replay. Snow uses retained footprint metadata with unverified pixel time. Forecast uses one pinned issuance/run and exact valid time.
No observed replay frame displayed.
Open the complete replay reader (works without scripting or WebGL)Choose Forecast for a pinned issuance and valid time.
Analysis
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Tropical
TrackImpactsModel guidanceAdvisory historyCurrent weather
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Coastal observationsNo product matches. Try a hazard or source name.
Analysis
Area, source times and interpretation
Current cached context, independently dated. Regional products keep their published footprint; they are not clipped or attributed to one storm. This section remains separate from the historical replay cursor and official cyclone forecast. Use Forecast to pin a retained model package.
Soundings: what weather balloons measured
A balloon launched about an hour before the time named, measuring as it rose and drifted with the wind: the atmosphere above one place, at one time. Model soundings, which are forecasts, are not shown here.
The levels this sounding was drawn from (57)
| Pressure | Height | Temperature | Dew point | Wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1002 mb | 15 m | 21.2 | 7.2 | 260° 4 kt |
| 1000 mb | 27 m | 21.6 | 8.6 | 270° 19 kt |
| 979 mb | 211 m | 20.8 | 7.8 | — |
| 968 mb | 305 m | 20.0 | 7.4 | 275° 29 kt |
| 935 mb | 610 m | 17.4 | 6.0 | 270° 30 kt |
| 925 mb | 698 m | 16.6 | 5.6 | 275° 32 kt |
| 902 mb | 914 m | 14.5 | 5.2 | 275° 33 kt |
| 883 mb | 1091 m | 12.8 | 4.8 | — |
| 870 mb | 1219 m | 11.6 | 4.0 | 275° 34 kt |
| 850 mb | 1409 m | 9.8 | 2.8 | 275° 35 kt |
| 817 mb | 1736 m | 6.6 | 0.6 | — |
| 797 mb | 1939 m | 4.8 | -1.2 | — |
| 778 mb | 2134 m | 3.4 | -4.4 | 275° 34 kt |
| 760 mb | 2325 m | 3.6 | -11.4 | — |
| 749 mb | 2438 m | 3.3 | -15.4 | 285° 34 kt |
| 722 mb | 2743 m | 2.6 | -26.1 | 285° 43 kt |
| 700 mb | 2990 m | 3.2 | -20.8 | 270° 56 kt |
| 679 mb | 3236 m | 2.2 | -18.8 | — |
| 644 mb | 3658 m | -0.6 | -19.1 | 265° 49 kt |
| 620 mb | 3962 m | -2.7 | -19.1 | 270° 56 kt |
| 597 mb | 4267 m | -3.9 | -21.5 | 260° 70 kt |
| 574 mb | 4572 m | -6.4 | -22.5 | 255° 70 kt |
| 552 mb | 4877 m | -9.2 | -22.9 | 255° 69 kt |
| 530 mb | 5182 m | -11.3 | -26.0 | 260° 72 kt |
| 520 mb | 5331 m | -12.1 | -28.1 | — |
| 510 mb | 5486 m | -12.7 | -30.7 | 255° 76 kt |
| 500 mb | 5630 m | -13.9 | -31.9 | 255° 74 kt |
| 489 mb | 5791 m | -15.3 | -32.3 | 260° 72 kt |
| 470 mb | 6097 m | -18.1 | -33.1 | 265° 76 kt |
| 451 mb | 6401 m | -20.5 | -36.8 | 265° 79 kt |
| 433 mb | 6706 m | -23.1 | -39.9 | 265° 78 kt |
| 415 mb | 7010 m | -25.6 | -43.4 | 265° 81 kt |
| 400 mb | 7280 m | -28.1 | -45.1 | 265° 83 kt |
| 381 mb | 7620 m | -31.4 | -47.2 | 260° 81 kt |
| 369 mb | 7852 m | -33.7 | -48.7 | — |
| 349 mb | 8230 m | -36.8 | -51.4 | 260° 77 kt |
| 334 mb | 8534 m | -39.2 | -53.5 | 255° 80 kt |
| 322 mb | 8793 m | -41.3 | -55.3 | — |
| 306 mb | 9137 m | -43.7 | -57.7 | — |
| 300 mb | 9270 m | -44.7 | -58.7 | 250° 92 kt |
| 286 mb | 9588 m | -47.5 | -60.5 | — |
| 270 mb | 9967 m | -49.1 | -60.1 | — |
| 259 mb | 10239 m | -50.1 | -62.1 | — |
| 250 mb | 10470 m | -49.5 | -61.5 | 250° 121 kt |
| 240 mb | 10736 m | -49.5 | -62.5 | — |
| 221 mb | 11278 m | -52.3 | -64.3 | 250° 129 kt |
| 210 mb | 11582 m | -53.9 | -65.2 | 250° 130 kt |
| 200 mb | 11910 m | -54.7 | -65.7 | 255° 133 kt |
| 187 mb | 12338 m | -55.7 | -66.7 | — |
| 175 mb | 12758 m | -57.7 | -68.7 | — |
| 163 mb | 13206 m | -57.5 | -69.5 | — |
| 152 mb | 13647 m | -58.1 | -71.1 | — |
| 150 mb | 13730 m | -58.5 | -71.5 | 250° 109 kt |
| 130 mb | 14630 m | -61.1 | -73.5 | 255° 101 kt |
| 118 mb | 15240 m | -62.6 | -74.6 | 265° 100 kt |
| 107 mb | 15826 m | -63.7 | -75.7 | — |
| 100 mb | 16240 m | -64.5 | -75.5 | 260° 60 kt |
Every station with a sounding (77)
- Aberdeen, SD (ABR)
- ADN
- Albany, NY (ALB)
- Albuquerque, NM (ABQ)
- Amarillo, TX (AMA)
- Birmingham, AL (BMX)
- Bismarck, ND (BIS)
- Blacksburg, VA (RNK)
- Boise, ID (BOI)
- Brownsville, TX (BRO)
- Buffalo, NY (BUF)
- Cape Canaveral, FL (XMR)
- Caribou, ME (CAR)
- Chanhassen, MN (MPX)
- Charleston, SC (CHS)
- Chihuahua, Mexico (76225)
- Corpus Christi, TX (CRP)
- Davenport, IA (DVN)
- Del Rio, TX (DRT)
- Dodge City, KS (DDC)
- Elko, NV (LKN)
- Flagstaff, AZ (FGZ)
- Fort Worth, TX (FWD)
- Gaylord, MI (APX)
- Glasgow, MT (GGW)
- Grand Junction, CO (GJT)
- Gray, ME (GYX)
- GRB
- Great Falls, MT (TFX)
- Greensboro, NC (GSO)
- International Falls, MN (INL)
- Jackson, MS (JAN)
- Jacksonville, FL (JAX)
- Key West, FL (KEY)
- La Paz, Mexico (76405)
- Lake Charles, LA (LCH)
- Lamont, OK (LMN)
- Las Vegas, NV (VEF)
- Lincoln, IL (ILX)
- Little Rock, AR (LZK)
- Maniwaki, Quebec (WMW)
- Mazatlán, Mexico (76458)
- Medford, OR (MFR)
- Miami, FL (MFL)
- Midland, TX (MAF)
- Nashville, TN (BNA)
- Newport, NC (MHX)
- Norman, OK (OUN)
- North Platte, NE (LBF)
- Oakland, CA (OAK)
- OYU
- Peachtree City, GA (FFC)
- Pickle Lake, Ontario (WPL)
- Pittsburgh, PA (PIT)
- Quillayute, WA (UIL)
- Rapid City, SD (UNR)
- Reno, NV (REV)
- Riverton, WY (RIW)
- Salem, OR (SLE)
- Salt Lake City, UT (SLC)
- San Diego, CA (NKX)
- Santa Teresa, NM (EPZ)
- Shreveport, LA (SHV)
- Slidell, LA (LIX)
- Spokane, WA (OTX)
- Springfield, MO (SGF)
- Sterling, VA (IAD)
- Tampa Bay, FL (TBW)
- Topeka, KS (TOP)
- Upton, NY (OKX)
- Valley, NE (OAX)
- Vandenberg, CA (VBG)
- VPS
- White Lake, MI (DTX)
- Wilmington, OH (ILN)
- Yarmouth, Nova Scotia (YQI)
- Zacatecas, Mexico (76526)
SPC observed soundings checked · Data: NOAA/SPC
Impacts
No supported U.S. monitoring areaOfficial forecast table
Forecast points
CPHC Best track · advisory · forecast cycle . Forecast positions are future estimates, not observed imagery. Classification is shown only where published.
| Valid time / lead | Position | Classification | Sustained wind |
|---|---|---|---|
+0 h from forecast cycle | 9.8°N, 173.2°W | Disturbance | 35 mph (30 kt) |
+3 h from forecast cycle | 9.8°N, 173.4°W | Disturbance | 35 mph (30 kt) |
+12 h from forecast cycle | 9.9°N, 174.1°W | Not reported | 35 mph (30 kt) |
Advisory history and records
Advisory history
Return to latest advisoryEach entry selects one immutable snapshot. Intermediate, special and corrected records are separate identities where retained. Current NWS context is labelled separately. Historical impact manifests are not retained by this index; newer impacts are never attached to an earlier advisory. Same-time corrections replaced in the publisher’s index cannot be selected unless still listed.
Monitoring geography
- Area
- None: no U.S. state or territory is under NHC’s coastal watches or warnings or inside the cone, Best track
Coastal watches and warnings: none in a U.S. state · Cone: crosses no U.S. state - Hazards
- —
- Window
- In force now, with this advisory’s forecast
- Made by
- CPHC’s own products, as this site’s pipeline published them, read again with each new advisory. Watch another area
The storm’s area, by its warning centre’s products: everything listed is in force in this area, never “from this storm”.
All published products and source descriptions
Wind speed probabilities
| Place | 34 kt | 50 kt | 64 kt |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10n 175w | 5% | — | — |
NHC’s chance of sustained wind of at least each speed at each place it lists, through ; the places with the highest chance of 34 kt first. Issued . Data: NOAA/NHC. NHC’s table.
NHC’s coastal watches and warnings
NHC has no coastal watch or warning in effect for this storm.
In NHC’s words, Best track, issued . The areas NHC names, in the United States and abroad; for a place outside the United States its national service is the warning authority. Data: NOAA/NHC. NHC’s advisory.
Intensity forecast
The official intensity forecast, drawn by this site from CPHC’s Best track (). Not an official CPHC product. Data: NOAA/NHC. CPHC’s own.
Satellite
The storm’s page shows it on NASA GIBS (NOAA GOES, JMA Himawari)’s imagery, loaded by your browser. GOES-West at 36° from the storm's meridian.
Imagery from NASA GIBS: NOAA GOES and JMA Himawari.
Model guidance
The models’ tracks, which are not a forecast, drawn by this site from CPHC’s Best track (). Not an official CPHC product. Data: NOAA/NHC. CPHC’s own.
Radar
NOAA’s radar for the area, loaded by your browser as on the Radar page.
Drawn live: if the radar fails, nothing older is shown in its place.
My places
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Alerts in this area
Area briefPeek viewCheck local warning authorities.