STORM MODEWeather tracking workspace

Tropical Storm Cempaka

Tropical Storm 52 mph (45 kt) · 999 hPa · NW at 18 mph (16 kt)

JTWC Warning 5 ·

Historical advisory selected · current imagery and impacts are not attached

JTWC forecast for Tropical Storm Cempaka, Warning 5; rendered by MaverickWX
Published advisory track · Warning 5

Observed imagery loads separately from the advisory. The base map is not observed satellite imagery.

ⓘ About this map

JTWC does not publish an NHC cone.

Basemap

MaverickWX map · Data: JTWC · not an official graphic

Change time or forecast product

Recorded weather · gaps are marked. Coverage begins with recording activation.

Live sources keep independent clocks.

Replay coverage and interpretation

Rolling target: 24 hours; cells: six hours. Radar: NOAA MRMS national overview, 8-minute tolerance. Satellite: original GOES GeoColor day/night picture, hourly sampling, 75-minute tolerance. No interpolation or latest-image fallback. Warning and source checks retain their own clocks. “Recorded by” is collector acquisition evidence, not exact browser publication history.

Current GLM density, velocity and specialist layers are hidden during replay. Snow uses retained footprint metadata with unverified pixel time. Forecast uses one pinned issuance/run and exact valid time.

No observed replay frame displayed.

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Choose Forecast for a pinned issuance and valid time.

Analysis

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Analysis

Area, source times and interpretation

Current cached context, independently dated. Regional products keep their published footprint; they are not clipped or attributed to one storm. This section remains separate from the historical replay cursor and official cyclone forecast. Use Forecast to pin a retained model package.

Soundings: what weather balloons measured

SPC’s skew-T diagram and hodograph of the sounding at Flagstaff, AZ (FGZ), 12Z. Its levels are in the table below.
Observed Sounding at Flagstaff, AZ (FGZ), for (8 h 33 min ago). SPC’s graphic; the values in its panels (CAPE, shear, the indices) are SPC’s computations from these levels. Data: NOAA/SPC.

A balloon launched about an hour before the time named, measuring as it rose and drifted with the wind: the atmosphere above one place, at one time. Model soundings, which are forecasts, are not shown here.

The levels this sounding was drawn from (49)
Flagstaff, AZ (FGZ): the surface first, then up through the atmosphere. Temperature and dew point in °C, as measured.
PressureHeightTemperatureDew pointWind
789 mb2192 m-2.5-2.8calm
765 mb2438 m7.2-0.8095° 14 kt
745 mb2653 m6.4-4.6—
732 mb2796 m7.4-9.6—
710 mb3048 m6.3-16.3090° 13 kt
700 mb3157 m5.8-16.2105° 10 kt
683 mb3353 m5.6-23.4085° 6 kt
666 mb3564 m4.8-29.2—
654 mb3712 m5.4-25.6—
634 mb3962 m3.6-23.3065° 17 kt
611 mb4267 m1.4-25.2055° 19 kt
597 mb4450 m-0.3-23.3—
577 mb4722 m-2.9-23.9—
566 mb4877 m-4.1-24.4035° 21 kt
547 mb5142 m-6.1-23.1—
529 mb5404 m-7.9-23.9—
515 mb5612 m-9.1-26.1—
503 mb5791 m-10.5-25.9055° 21 kt
500 mb5840 m-10.9-25.9050° 21 kt
483 mb6096 m-12.1-29.4045° 21 kt
467 mb6359 m-13.1-33.1—
446 mb6706 m-15.8-33.1040° 19 kt
428 mb7010 m-18.6-35.9030° 17 kt
411 mb7315 m-21.4-37.2010° 25 kt
400 mb7510 m-23.1-38.1010° 28 kt
380 mb7883 m-26.7-40.7—
359 mb8291 m-30.3-45.3—
347 mb8534 m-32.5-46.5010° 25 kt
332 mb8839 m-35.2-48.0000° 28 kt
318 mb9144 m-37.7-49.9000° 31 kt
304 mb9449 m-39.8-52.7000° 25 kt
300 mb9540 m-40.5-53.5355° 23 kt
285 mb9889 m-40.9-55.9—
274 mb10156 m-42.5-57.5—
254 mb10668 m-46.1-61.1350° 38 kt
250 mb10770 m-46.9-61.9345° 38 kt
231 mb11278 m-50.3-64.5340° 43 kt
221 mb11582 m-52.0-66.0330° 43 kt
211 mb11887 m-53.4-67.2330° 38 kt
200 mb12220 m-54.7-67.7330° 30 kt
182 mb12802 m-58.5-70.5320° 33 kt
169 mb13281 m-60.1-72.1—
158 mb13716 m-62.0-73.2290° 35 kt
150 mb14020 m-63.5-74.5285° 43 kt
140 mb14443 m-63.1-74.1—
130 mb14896 m-64.3-75.3—
120 mb15384 m-64.5-75.5—
107 mb16077 m-67.9-77.9—
100 mb16480 m-70.3-80.3280° 24 kt

SPC observed soundings checked · Data: NOAA/SPC

Impacts

No supported U.S. monitoring area
Official forecast table

Forecast points

JTWC Warning 5 · advisory · forecast cycle . Forecast positions are future estimates, not observed imagery. Classification is shown only where published.

Published official forecast; no interpolated positions or winds
Valid time / leadPositionClassificationSustained wind

+12 h from forecast cycle
21.2°N, 140.1°ETropical storm69 mph (60 kt)

+24 h from forecast cycle
22.2°N, 137.3°ETyphoon86 mph (75 kt)

+36 h from forecast cycle
23.0°N, 135.3°ETyphoon104 mph (90 kt)

+48 h from forecast cycle
23.8°N, 134.7°ETyphoon115 mph (100 kt)

+60 h from forecast cycle
24.4°N, 135.9°ETyphoon109 mph (95 kt)

+72 h from forecast cycle
25.1°N, 138.6°ETyphoon98 mph (85 kt)

+96 h from forecast cycle
27.2°N, 145.4°ETropical storm63 mph (55 kt)

+120 h from forecast cycle
28.0°N, 150.4°ETropical storm40 mph (35 kt)
Advisory history and records

Advisory history

Return to latest advisory

Each entry selects one immutable snapshot. Intermediate, special and corrected records are separate identities where retained. Current NWS context is labelled separately. Historical impact manifests are not retained by this index; newer impacts are never attached to an earlier advisory. Same-time corrections replaced in the publisher’s index cannot be selected unless still listed.

Monitoring geography
Area
None: JTWC’s forecast track passes within 300 nm of no U.S. territory with NWS zones, Warning 5
JTWC issues no cone and no coastal segments, so the area is the territories its track reaches.
Hazards
—
Window
In force now, with this warning’s forecast
Made by
JTWC’s own products, as this site’s pipeline published them, read again with each new warning. Watch another area

The storm’s area, by its warning centre’s products: everything listed is in force in this area, never “from this storm”.

All published products and source descriptions

Forecast track

The official forecast track for Tropical Storm Cempaka, JTWC Warning 5

The official forecast track, drawn by this site from JTWC’s Warning 5 (). Not an official JTWC product. Data: JTWC. JTWC’s own.

Intensity forecast

The official intensity forecast for Tropical Storm Cempaka, JTWC Warning 5

The official intensity forecast, drawn by this site from JTWC’s Warning 5 (). Not an official JTWC product. Data: JTWC. JTWC’s own.

Satellite

The storm’s page shows it on the satellite, loaded by your browser.

Open the storm’s page

Imagery from NASA GIBS: NOAA GOES and JMA Himawari.

Model guidance

The models’ tracks, which are not a forecast for Tropical Storm Cempaka, JTWC Warning 5

The models’ tracks, which are not a forecast, drawn by this site from JTWC’s Warning 5 (). Not an official JTWC product. Data: JTWC. JTWC’s own.

Radar

NOAA’s radar for the area, loaded by your browser as on the Radar page.

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Drawn live: if the radar fails, nothing older is shown in its place.

My places

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Outside NWS coverageTropical Storm Cempaka
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