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Typhoon Cempaka

Typhoon 109 mph (95 kt) · ENE at 13 mph (11 kt)

JTWC Warning 15 · 18:00Z

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JTWC forecast for Typhoon Cempaka, Warning 15; rendered by MaverickWX

Published advisory track · Warning 15

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ⓘ About this map

JTWC does not publish an NHC cone.

Basemap

MaverickWX map · Data: JTWC · not an official graphic

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Replay coverage and interpretation

Rolling target: 24 hours; cells: six hours. Radar: NOAA MRMS national overview, 8-minute tolerance. Satellite: original GOES GeoColor day/night picture, hourly sampling, 75-minute tolerance. No interpolation or latest-image fallback. Warning and source checks retain their own clocks. “Recorded by” is collector acquisition evidence, not exact browser publication history.

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Analysis

Area, source times and interpretation

Current cached context, independently dated. Regional products keep their published footprint; they are not clipped or attributed to one storm. This section remains separate from the historical replay cursor and official cyclone forecast. Use Forecast to pin a retained model package.

Soundings: what weather balloons measured

SPC’s skew-T diagram and hodograph of the sounding at Springfield, MO (SGF), 12Z. Its levels are in the table below. — Observed Sounding at Springfield, MO (SGF), for 12:00Z (8 h 37 min ago). SPC’s graphic; the values in its panels (CAPE, shear, the indices) are SPC’s computations from these levels. Data: NOAA/SPC.

A balloon launched about an hour before the time named, measuring as it rose and drifted with the wind: the atmosphere above one place, at one time. Model soundings, which are forecasts, are not shown here.

The levels this sounding was drawn from (61)

Springfield, MO (SGF): the surface first, then up through the atmosphere. Temperature and dew point in °C, as measured.
Pressure	Height	Temperature	Dew point	Wind
976 mb	387 m	3.6	2.0	175° 1 kt
965 mb	482 m	7.2	3.4	260° 16 kt
952 mb	597 m	11.5	5.1	280° 15 kt
934 mb	759 m	14.4	6.4	—
925 mb	842 m	14.2	5.2	330° 7 kt
909 mb	989 m	13.2	2.2	—
894 mb	1129 m	13.3	-4.5	310° 2 kt
868 mb	1376 m	11.7	-0.6	225° 5 kt
857 mb	1482 m	10.8	-1.2	230° 5 kt
850 mb	1550 m	10.2	-1.8	225° 5 kt
811 mb	1940 m	10.0	-17.0	—
775 mb	2315 m	8.2	-17.2	270° 14 kt
763 mb	2444 m	7.5	-18.6	270° 14 kt
749 mb	2596 m	6.8	-21.2	—
730 mb	2806 m	6.3	-20.4	260° 13 kt
720 mb	2919 m	6.0	-20.0	—
709 mb	3045 m	5.5	-21.1	275° 10 kt
700 mb	3149 m	5.4	-22.6	275° 8 kt
667 mb	3539 m	2.8	-19.8	220° 2 kt
657 mb	3661 m	1.9	-18.1	275° 3 kt
647 mb	3785 m	1.0	-16.4	260° 4 kt
631 mb	3987 m	-0.5	-13.5	—
614 mb	4204 m	-1.4	-16.8	275° 6 kt
600 mb	4388 m	-2.2	-19.5	295° 10 kt
573 mb	4751 m	-4.3	-25.5	280° 11 kt
555 mb	5001 m	-6.0	-29.9	300° 10 kt
529 mb	5376 m	-8.5	-36.5	310° 6 kt
500 mb	5810 m	-12.1	-34.1	285° 10 kt
482 mb	6089 m	-14.6	-32.8	295° 8 kt
464 mb	6374 m	-16.6	-35.9	315° 11 kt
450 mb	6604 m	-18.2	-38.7	300° 7 kt
409 mb	7308 m	-24.3	-42.4	315° 6 kt
400 mb	7470 m	-25.1	-44.1	300° 4 kt
390 mb	7653 m	-26.3	-45.3	020° 2 kt
366 mb	8107 m	-30.0	-48.3	015° 11 kt
354 mb	8345 m	-31.9	-49.9	—
341 mb	8606 m	-34.1	-51.3	020° 13 kt
329 mb	8857 m	-36.2	-52.6	005° 16 kt
300 mb	9490 m	-41.9	-56.9	005° 15 kt
285 mb	9833 m	-44.7	-58.8	010° 16 kt
270 mb	10195 m	-47.7	-60.7	—
260 mb	10444 m	-49.1	-62.1	—
250 mb	10700 m	-50.9	-62.9	320° 12 kt
240 mb	10965 m	-52.4	-64.4	315° 17 kt
207 mb	11912 m	-56.5	-67.5	—
200 mb	12130 m	-56.5	-67.5	285° 18 kt
183 mb	12692 m	-59.1	-69.1	245° 37 kt
173 mb	13045 m	-59.7	-71.7	—
161 mb	13496 m	-58.9	-72.1	275° 60 kt
150 mb	13940 m	-61.1	-75.1	290° 49 kt
140 mb	14366 m	-61.5	-76.9	280° 43 kt
113 mb	15678 m	-67.3	-86.3	—
100 mb	16410 m	-70.9	-90.9	280° 40 kt
86 mb	17333 m	-72.9	-94.9	—
74 mb	18190 m	-69.6	-94.6	305° 27 kt
64 mb	19057 m	-67.7	-94.7	315° 25 kt
53 mb	20204 m	-64.3	-91.6	240° 27 kt
32 mb	23293 m	-62.1	-89.6	265° 21 kt
22 mb	25612 m	-59.3	-86.5	260° 35 kt
12 mb	29497 m	-46.4	-75.2	270° 73 kt
9 mb	31587 m	-40.7	-60.7	—

Every station with a sounding (76)

SPC observed soundings checked 20:30Z · Data: NOAA/SPC

Impacts

No supported U.S. monitoring area

Coastal alertsLocal national warning authorities apply Flooding rainOfficial rainfall context and coverage Storm surgeAvailability and coastal-only product limits Warnings in monitored areaNWS coverage unavailable here; not a global all-clear

Official forecast table

Forecast points

JTWC Warning 15 · advisory 18:00Z · forecast cycle 18:00Z. Forecast positions are future estimates, not observed imagery. Classification is shown only where published.

Published official forecast; no interpolated positions or winds
Valid time / lead	Position	Classification	Sustained wind
10 Nov 06:00Z +12 h from forecast cycle	25.5°N, 139.7°E	Typhoon	109 mph (95 kt)
10 Nov 18:00Z +24 h from forecast cycle	26.6°N, 143.7°E	Typhoon	98 mph (85 kt)
11 Nov 06:00Z +36 h from forecast cycle	28.0°N, 148.5°E	Typhoon	81 mph (70 kt)
11 Nov 18:00Z +48 h from forecast cycle	29.0°N, 153.4°E	Tropical storm	63 mph (55 kt)
12 Nov 06:00Z +60 h from forecast cycle	29.2°N, 157.5°E	Tropical storm	52 mph (45 kt)

Advisory history and records

Advisory history

Return to latest advisory

Each entry selects one immutable snapshot. Intermediate, special and corrected records are separate identities where retained. Current NWS context is labelled separately. Historical impact manifests are not retained by this index; newer impacts are never attached to an earlier advisory. Same-time corrections replaced in the publisher’s index cannot be selected unless still listed.

Advisory history; retained records only
Official issuance	Revision kind	Record
JTWC Warning 15 · 18:00Z	advisory	Snapshot c752b70f · Selected
JTWC Warning 14 · 12:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 311990a5
JTWC Warning 13 · 06:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 07c0ce17
JTWC Warning 12 · 00:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 5bfaa1fd
JTWC Warning 11 · 8 Nov 18:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 2246b2a9
JTWC Warning 10 · 8 Nov 12:00Z	advisory	Snapshot d2af0300
JTWC Warning 9 · 8 Nov 06:00Z	advisory	Snapshot d9150cf8
JTWC Warning 8 · 8 Nov 00:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 70a99d6f
JTWC Warning 7 · 7 Nov 18:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 8017732a
JTWC Warning 6 · 7 Nov 12:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 1d3d7ebb
JTWC Warning 5 · 7 Nov 06:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 70f8e842
JTWC Warning 4 · 7 Nov 00:00Z	advisory	Snapshot f9baa0bb
JTWC Warning 3 · 6 Nov 18:00Z	advisory	Snapshot dd0679d9
JTWC Warning 2 · 6 Nov 12:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 6bf2dbf6
JTWC Warning 1 · 6 Nov 06:00Z	first	Snapshot 858bb03c

Monitoring geography

Area: None: JTWC’s forecast track passes within 300 nm of no U.S. territory with NWS zones, Warning 15
JTWC issues no cone and no coastal segments, so the area is the territories its track reaches.
Hazards: —
Window: In force now, with this warning’s forecast
Made by: JTWC’s own products, as this site’s pipeline published them, read again with each new warning. Watch another area

The storm’s area, by its warning centre’s products: everything listed is in force in this area, never “from this storm”.

All published products and source descriptions

Forecast track

The official forecast track, drawn by this site from JTWC’s Warning 15 (18:00Z). Not an official JTWC product. Data: JTWC. JTWC’s own.

Intensity forecast

The official intensity forecast, drawn by this site from JTWC’s Warning 15 (18:00Z). Not an official JTWC product. Data: JTWC. JTWC’s own.

Satellite

The storm’s page shows it on NASA GIBS (NOAA GOES, JMA Himawari)’s imagery, loaded by your browser. Himawari at 4° from the storm's meridian.

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Imagery from NASA GIBS: NOAA GOES and JMA Himawari.

Model guidance

The models’ tracks, which are not a forecast for Typhoon Cempaka, JTWC Warning 15

The models’ tracks, which are not a forecast, drawn by this site from JTWC’s Warning 15 (18:00Z). Not an official JTWC product. Data: JTWC. JTWC’s own.

Radar

NOAA’s radar for the area, loaded by your browser as on the Radar page.

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Details

JTWC Warning 15 · 18:00Z

Center position: 24.6°N, 136.6°E
Minimum pressure: Not reported
Maximum sustained wind: 109 mph (95 kt)
Movement: ENE at 13 mph (11 kt)
Since the advisory compared: Wind +20 kt · pressure Not comparable
Compared with Warning 12 · 00:00Z

Read official warning (JTWC) ↗

Forecast cycle 18:00Z. Center position belongs to the official state’s time, not imagery time.

Map layers

Lightning activity — GOES GLM

Public event region Aggregation interval Show density on map

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Coverage and interpretation

Total lightning, including in-cloud activity. Not ground-strike locations or a safe-to-go-outside signal.

Cached lightning source details and text readings

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Advisory comparison

Show previous forecast as a dashed line

Solid: Warning 15 · 18:00Z
Dashed: Warning 12 · 00:00Z

Compare positions and intensity

Solid: JTWC Warning 15 · 18:00Z
Dashed: JTWC Warning 12 · 00:00Z. Comparison uses each record’s own geometry. A revision is not a landfall or impact prediction.

Current-state revision (two separate official issuances)
Field	Selected issuance	Comparison issuance	Change
Maximum sustained wind	109 mph (95 kt)	86 mph (75 kt)	+20 kt
Minimum pressure	Not reported	982 hPa	Not comparable
Center position	24.6°N, 136.6°E	23.8°N, 135.0°E	Different observation times; not a forecast shift

Forecast comparison unavailable: these records have no matching forecast valid times. No interpolation or six-hour step is assumed.

None: JTWC’s forecast track passes within 300 nm of no U.S. territory with NWS zones, Warning 15. Current geographical context; these alerts are not attributed to the cyclone.

Data coverage

JTWC has no NHC cone, NHC wind probabilities or NHC civil coastal warnings. Local national services remain the warning authorities.

Geographic context: Natural Earth boundaries and representative place labels. Radar coverage is limited offshore. Satellite pixels keep their source palette and actual observation time. Missing imagery is not clear weather.

No supported U.S. NWS monitoring area for this advisory. This does not mean no warnings worldwide.

Sources

JTWC warning, as published checked 20:36Z
Radar live tiles, no last-good copy

Not an official warning service. Warnings and watches are the National Weather Service’s, outlooks and reports the Storm Prediction Center’s and the Weather Prediction Center’s (Data: NOAA/NWS, NOAA/SPC, NOAA/WPC). When a warning is issued for you, act on it, and use weather.gov or a NOAA Weather Radio for where you are.

Outside NWS coverageTyphoon Cempaka

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20:37Z