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Typhoon Cempaka

Typhoon 75 mph (65 kt) · ENE at 38 mph (33 kt)

JTWC Warning 21 · 06:00Z

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JTWC forecast for Typhoon Cempaka, Warning 21; rendered by MaverickWX

Published advisory track · Warning 21

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ⓘ About this map

JTWC does not publish an NHC cone.

Basemap

MaverickWX map · Data: JTWC · not an official graphic

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Recorded weather · gaps are marked. Coverage begins with recording activation.

Live sources keep independent clocks.

Replay coverage and interpretation

Rolling target: 24 hours; cells: six hours. Radar: NOAA MRMS national overview, 8-minute tolerance. Satellite: original GOES GeoColor day/night picture, hourly sampling, 75-minute tolerance. No interpolation or latest-image fallback. Warning and source checks retain their own clocks. “Recorded by” is collector acquisition evidence, not exact browser publication history.

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Analysis

Area, source times and interpretation

Current cached context, independently dated. Regional products keep their published footprint; they are not clipped or attributed to one storm. This section remains separate from the historical replay cursor and official cyclone forecast. Use Forecast to pin a retained model package.

Soundings: what weather balloons measured

SPC’s skew-T diagram and hodograph of the sounding at Flagstaff, AZ (FGZ), 00Z. Its levels are in the table below. — Observed Sounding at Flagstaff, AZ (FGZ), for 00:00Z (10 h 21 min ago). SPC’s graphic; the values in its panels (CAPE, shear, the indices) are SPC’s computations from these levels. Data: NOAA/SPC.

A balloon launched about an hour before the time named, measuring as it rose and drifted with the wind: the atmosphere above one place, at one time. Model soundings, which are forecasts, are not shown here.

The levels this sounding was drawn from (34)

Flagstaff, AZ (FGZ): the surface first, then up through the atmosphere. Temperature and dew point in °C, as measured.
Pressure	Height	Temperature	Dew point	Wind
789 mb	2192 m	15.8	2.8	calm
700 mb	3168 m	4.2	-4.8	010° 4 kt
686 mb	3332 m	3.8	-8.2	—
659 mb	3658 m	1.8	-17.5	010° 1 kt
636 mb	3942 m	1.4	-21.6	—
611 mb	4267 m	-1.1	-23.2	045° 11 kt
590 mb	4541 m	-3.5	-24.5	—
572 mb	4785 m	-4.7	-27.7	—
543 mb	5192 m	-7.1	-31.1	—
504 mb	5769 m	-10.9	-34.9	—
500 mb	5830 m	-11.5	-35.5	270° 8 kt
489 mb	6000 m	-12.5	-36.5	—
460 mb	6464 m	-16.7	-39.7	—
433 mb	6916 m	-19.5	-44.5	—
418 mb	7177 m	-21.7	-46.7	—
400 mb	7500 m	-24.3	-48.3	255° 13 kt
385 mb	7776 m	-26.7	-47.7	—
313 mb	9231 m	-38.5	-49.5	—
300 mb	9520 m	-40.9	-51.9	255° 24 kt
281 mb	9963 m	-44.3	-53.3	—
266 mb	10330 m	-46.7	-54.7	—
253 mb	10668 m	-49.7	-56.8	250° 33 kt
250 mb	10740 m	-50.3	-57.3	245° 35 kt
226 mb	11389 m	-55.9	-60.9	—
212 mb	11794 m	-57.5	-63.5	—
202 mb	12097 m	-58.3	-65.3	—
200 mb	12160 m	-58.1	-65.1	265° 37 kt
185 mb	12652 m	-58.5	-67.5	—
172 mb	13106 m	-57.4	-68.5	255° 37 kt
162 mb	13489 m	-58.1	-70.1	—
150 mb	13970 m	-61.1	-75.1	315° 40 kt
123 mb	15194 m	-65.5	-82.5	285° 37 kt
105 mb	16154 m	-67.5	-87.5	300° 20 kt
100 mb	16450 m	-66.9	-87.9	310° 30 kt

Every station with a sounding (76)

SPC observed soundings checked 10:15Z · Data: NOAA/SPC

Impacts

No supported U.S. monitoring area

Coastal alertsLocal national warning authorities apply Flooding rainOfficial rainfall context and coverage Storm surgeAvailability and coastal-only product limits Warnings in monitored areaNWS coverage unavailable here; not a global all-clear

Official forecast table

Forecast points

JTWC Warning 21 · advisory 06:00Z · forecast cycle 06:00Z. Forecast positions are future estimates, not observed imagery. Classification is shown only where published.

Published official forecast; no interpolated positions or winds
Valid time / lead	Position	Classification	Sustained wind
18:00Z +12 h from forecast cycle	31.2°N, 157.0°E	Tropical storm	63 mph (55 kt)
12 Nov 06:00Z +24 h from forecast cycle	33.6°N, 164.2°E	Tropical storm	52 mph (45 kt)

Advisory history and records

Advisory history

Return to latest advisory

Each entry selects one immutable snapshot. Intermediate, special and corrected records are separate identities where retained. Current NWS context is labelled separately. Historical impact manifests are not retained by this index; newer impacts are never attached to an earlier advisory. Same-time corrections replaced in the publisher’s index cannot be selected unless still listed.

Advisory history; retained records only
Official issuance	Revision kind	Record
JTWC Warning 21 · 06:00Z	advisory	Snapshot bb754e3a · Selected
JTWC Warning 20 · 00:00Z	advisory	Snapshot a34c26ab
JTWC Warning 19 · 10 Nov 18:00Z	advisory	Snapshot e7808ce0
JTWC Warning 18 · 10 Nov 12:00Z	advisory	Snapshot b515c9cc
JTWC Warning 17 · 10 Nov 06:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 17571fa4
JTWC Warning 16 · 10 Nov 00:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 5d7e3d7e
JTWC Warning 15 · 9 Nov 18:00Z	advisory	Snapshot c752b70f
JTWC Warning 14 · 9 Nov 12:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 311990a5
JTWC Warning 13 · 9 Nov 06:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 07c0ce17
JTWC Warning 12 · 9 Nov 00:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 5bfaa1fd
JTWC Warning 11 · 8 Nov 18:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 2246b2a9
JTWC Warning 10 · 8 Nov 12:00Z	advisory	Snapshot d2af0300
JTWC Warning 9 · 8 Nov 06:00Z	advisory	Snapshot d9150cf8
JTWC Warning 8 · 8 Nov 00:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 70a99d6f
JTWC Warning 7 · 7 Nov 18:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 8017732a
JTWC Warning 6 · 7 Nov 12:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 1d3d7ebb
JTWC Warning 5 · 7 Nov 06:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 70f8e842
JTWC Warning 4 · 7 Nov 00:00Z	advisory	Snapshot f9baa0bb
JTWC Warning 3 · 6 Nov 18:00Z	advisory	Snapshot dd0679d9
JTWC Warning 2 · 6 Nov 12:00Z	advisory	Snapshot 6bf2dbf6
JTWC Warning 1 · 6 Nov 06:00Z	first	Snapshot 858bb03c

Monitoring geography

Area: None: JTWC’s forecast track passes within 300 nm of no U.S. territory with NWS zones, Warning 21
JTWC issues no cone and no coastal segments, so the area is the territories its track reaches.
Hazards: —
Window: In force now, with this warning’s forecast
Made by: JTWC’s own products, as this site’s pipeline published them, read again with each new warning. Watch another area

The storm’s area, by its warning centre’s products: everything listed is in force in this area, never “from this storm”.

All published products and source descriptions

Forecast track

The official forecast track, drawn by this site from JTWC’s Warning 21 (06:00Z). Not an official JTWC product. Data: JTWC. JTWC’s own.

Intensity forecast

The official intensity forecast, drawn by this site from JTWC’s Warning 21 (06:00Z). Not an official JTWC product. Data: JTWC. JTWC’s own.

Satellite

The storm’s page shows it on NASA GIBS (NOAA GOES, JMA Himawari)’s imagery, loaded by your browser. Himawari at 10° from the storm's meridian.

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Imagery from NASA GIBS: NOAA GOES and JMA Himawari.

Model guidance

The models’ tracks, which are not a forecast for Typhoon Cempaka, JTWC Warning 21

The models’ tracks, which are not a forecast, drawn by this site from JTWC’s Warning 21 (06:00Z). Not an official JTWC product. Data: JTWC. JTWC’s own.

Radar

NOAA’s radar for the area, loaded by your browser as on the Radar page.

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Details

JTWC Warning 21 · 06:00Z

Center position: 29.1°N, 150.2°E
Minimum pressure: Not reported
Maximum sustained wind: 75 mph (65 kt)
Movement: ENE at 38 mph (33 kt)
Since the advisory compared: Wind -5 kt · pressure Not comparable
Compared with Warning 20 · 00:00Z

Read official warning (JTWC) ↗

Forecast cycle 06:00Z. Center position belongs to the official state’s time, not imagery time.

Map layers

Lightning activity — GOES GLM

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Coverage and interpretation

Total lightning, including in-cloud activity. Not ground-strike locations or a safe-to-go-outside signal.

Cached lightning source details and text readings

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Advisory comparison

Compare with

Show previous forecast as a dashed line

Solid: Warning 21 · 06:00Z
Dashed: Warning 20 · 00:00Z

Compare positions and intensity

Solid: JTWC Warning 21 · 06:00Z
Dashed: JTWC Warning 20 · 00:00Z. Comparison uses each record’s own geometry. A revision is not a landfall or impact prediction.

Current-state revision (two separate official issuances)
Field	Selected issuance	Comparison issuance	Change
Maximum sustained wind	75 mph (65 kt)	81 mph (70 kt)	-5 kt
Minimum pressure	Not reported	Not reported	Not comparable
Center position	29.1°N, 150.2°E	27.7°N, 146.7°E	Different observation times; not a forecast shift

Forecast comparison unavailable: these records have no matching forecast valid times. No interpolation or six-hour step is assumed.

None: JTWC’s forecast track passes within 300 nm of no U.S. territory with NWS zones, Warning 21. Current geographical context; these alerts are not attributed to the cyclone.

Data coverage

JTWC has no NHC cone, NHC wind probabilities or NHC civil coastal warnings. Local national services remain the warning authorities.

Geographic context: Natural Earth boundaries and representative place labels. Radar coverage is limited offshore. Satellite pixels keep their source palette and actual observation time. Missing imagery is not clear weather.

No supported U.S. NWS monitoring area for this advisory. This does not mean no warnings worldwide.

Sources

JTWC warning, as published checked 10:19Z
Radar live tiles, no last-good copy

Not an official warning service. Warnings and watches are the National Weather Service’s, outlooks and reports the Storm Prediction Center’s and the Weather Prediction Center’s (Data: NOAA/NWS, NOAA/SPC, NOAA/WPC). When a warning is issued for you, act on it, and use weather.gov or a NOAA Weather Radio for where you are.

Outside NWS coverageTyphoon Cempaka

Check local warning authorities.

10:21Z