Forecast track

The official forecast track, drawn by this site from JTWC’s Warning 11 (). Not an official JTWC product. Data: JTWC. JTWC’s own.
Current advisory context · Typhoon 75 mph (65 kt) · 989 hPa · NW at 10 mph (9 kt)
JTWC Warning 11 ·
Latest advisory

Observed imagery loads separately from the advisory. The base map is not observed satellite imagery.
JTWC does not publish an NHC cone.
Basemap
MaverickWX map · Data: JTWC · not an official graphic
Recorded weather · gaps are marked. Coverage begins with recording activation.
Live sources keep independent clocks.
Rolling target: 24 hours; cells: six hours. Radar: NOAA MRMS national overview, 8-minute tolerance. Satellite: original GOES GeoColor day/night picture, hourly sampling, 75-minute tolerance. No interpolation or latest-image fallback. Warning and source checks retain their own clocks. “Recorded by” is collector acquisition evidence, not exact browser publication history.
Current GLM density, velocity and specialist layers are hidden during replay. Snow uses retained footprint metadata with unverified pixel time. Forecast uses one pinned issuance/run and exact valid time.
No observed replay frame displayed.
Open the complete replay reader (works without scripting or WebGL)Choose Forecast for a pinned issuance and valid time.
No product matches. Try a hazard or source name.
Current cached context, independently dated. Regional products keep their published footprint; they are not clipped or attributed to one storm. This section remains separate from the historical replay cursor and official cyclone forecast. Use Forecast to pin a retained model package.
WPC’s bulletin does not say which side of a front its symbols go, so this map draws no triangles or half-circles; each front is named on the map and in the list.
Observed 2,142 stations, each at its own time, most between and . Airport and other automated stations’ reports (METARs), as AviationWeather.gov decodes them. Left out: 603 reports flagged by the station for maintenance and no reports that cannot be right; no other quality control is applied here.
Analysis WPC’s surface analysis valid , issued . A forecaster’s analysis of the fronts and pressure centres at that hour, every three hours.
Choose a state or a place for a table of its stations.
Surface observations checked · Data: NOAA/NWS Aviation Weather Center
WPC surface analysis checked · Data: NOAA/WPC
JTWC Warning 11 · advisory · forecast cycle . Forecast positions are future estimates, not observed imagery. Classification is shown only where published.
| Valid time / lead | Position | Classification | Sustained wind |
|---|---|---|---|
+12 h from forecast cycle | 23.6°N, 135.2°E | Typhoon | 86 mph (75 kt) |
+24 h from forecast cycle | 24.2°N, 136.3°E | Typhoon | 92 mph (80 kt) |
+36 h from forecast cycle | 24.7°N, 138.8°E | Typhoon | 86 mph (75 kt) |
+48 h from forecast cycle | 25.4°N, 142.0°E | Typhoon | 75 mph (65 kt) |
+60 h from forecast cycle | 26.0°N, 145.3°E | Tropical storm | 58 mph (50 kt) |
+72 h from forecast cycle | 26.3°N, 147.7°E | Tropical storm | 46 mph (40 kt) |
+96 h from forecast cycle | 26.0°N, 151.0°E | Tropical storm | 40 mph (35 kt) |
Each entry selects one immutable snapshot. Intermediate, special and corrected records are separate identities where retained. Current NWS context is labelled separately. Historical impact manifests are not retained by this index; newer impacts are never attached to an earlier advisory. Same-time corrections replaced in the publisher’s index cannot be selected unless still listed.
| Official issuance | Revision kind | Record |
|---|---|---|
| JTWC Warning 11 · | advisory | Snapshot 2246b2a9 · Selected |
| JTWC Warning 10 · | advisory | Snapshot d2af0300 |
| JTWC Warning 9 · | advisory | Snapshot d9150cf8 |
| JTWC Warning 8 · | advisory | Snapshot 70a99d6f |
| JTWC Warning 7 · | advisory | Snapshot 8017732a |
| JTWC Warning 6 · | advisory | Snapshot 1d3d7ebb |
| JTWC Warning 5 · | advisory | Snapshot 70f8e842 |
| JTWC Warning 4 · | advisory | Snapshot f9baa0bb |
| JTWC Warning 3 · | advisory | Snapshot dd0679d9 |
| JTWC Warning 2 · | advisory | Snapshot 6bf2dbf6 |
| JTWC Warning 1 · | first | Snapshot 858bb03c |
The storm’s area, by its warning centre’s products: everything listed is in force in this area, never “from this storm”.

The official forecast track, drawn by this site from JTWC’s Warning 11 (). Not an official JTWC product. Data: JTWC. JTWC’s own.

The official intensity forecast, drawn by this site from JTWC’s Warning 11 (). Not an official JTWC product. Data: JTWC. JTWC’s own.
The storm’s page shows it on NASA GIBS (NOAA GOES, JMA Himawari)’s imagery, loaded by your browser. Himawari at 5° from the storm's meridian.
Imagery from NASA GIBS: NOAA GOES and JMA Himawari.

The models’ tracks, which are not a forecast, drawn by this site from JTWC’s Warning 11 (). Not an official JTWC product. Data: JTWC. JTWC’s own.
NOAA’s radar for the area, loaded by your browser as on the Radar page.
Drawn live: if the radar fails, nothing older is shown in its place.
Saved places are read from this device after scripting starts.
Search stays in this browser. A town point is not an address; no address-level surge is calculated.
Forecast cycle . Center position belongs to the official state’s time, not imagery time.
Cached lightning observations have not loaded. An empty map is not zero lightning.
Total lightning, including in-cloud activity. Not ground-strike locations or a safe-to-go-outside signal.
Interactive layer controls load on this device. Published products remain available below.
Solid: Warning 11 ·
Dashed: Warning 10 ·
Solid: JTWC Warning 11 ·
Dashed: JTWC Warning 10 · . Comparison uses each record’s own geometry. A revision is not a landfall or impact prediction.
| Field | Selected issuance | Comparison issuance | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Maximum sustained wind | 75 mph (65 kt) | 75 mph (65 kt) | 0 kt |
| Minimum pressure | 989 hPa | 989 hPa | 0 hPa |
| Center position | 22.9°N, 135.7°E | 22.4°N, 136.5°E | Different observation times; not a forecast shift |
Forecast comparison unavailable: these records have no matching forecast valid times. No interpolation or six-hour step is assumed.
None: JTWC’s forecast track passes within 300 nm of no U.S. territory with NWS zones, Warning 11. Current geographical context; these alerts are not attributed to the cyclone.
JTWC has no NHC cone, NHC wind probabilities or NHC civil coastal warnings. Local national services remain the warning authorities.
Geographic context: Natural Earth boundaries and representative place labels. Radar coverage is limited offshore. Satellite pixels keep their source palette and actual observation time. Missing imagery is not clear weather.
No supported U.S. NWS monitoring area for this advisory. This does not mean no warnings worldwide.
JTWC warning, as published checked
Radar live tiles, no last-good copy
Not an official warning service. Warnings and watches are the National Weather Service’s, outlooks and reports the Storm Prediction Center’s and the Weather Prediction Center’s (Data: NOAA/NWS, NOAA/SPC, NOAA/WPC). When a warning is issued for you, act on it, and use weather.gov or a NOAA Weather Radio for where you are.