Rain & rivers: Arizona

Observed gauges / Forecast gauges / NWS warnings: feeds current

Observed gauges: Feed current; checked 18:25Z.

Forecast gauges: Feed current; checked 18:25Z.

NWS warnings: Feed current; checked 18:27Z.

Checked means retrieved, not newly issued. Each graphic retains its issue, observation, initialization or valid time. Site publishing status is separate.

Minor flooding

Moenkopi Wash at Tuba city, AZ

Gauge: River gauge · MOEA3 · NWS FGZ
Observed: Observed 27.89 ft at 16:45Z: minor flooding
Forecast: No forecast at action stage or above.
Stages: Action 26 ft · Flood (minor) 27 ft · Moderate 28 ft · Major 29 ft
Forecasts: Forecasts are issued routinely year-round.

Forecast hydrograph

NWS forecast, issued 7 Nov 20:07Z: the line is the forecast stage, each dot one of NWS’s points; the ringed dot is the latest observation, when one at action stage or above is held. Earlier observations are not held here, so no observed line is drawn. Higher stages not drawn: major 29 ft. Minor flooding at its worst, observed or forecast. Data: NOAA/NWPS.

The forecast points as a table

NWS forecast stage at Tuba city
Time	Stage
7 Nov 21:00Z	26.21 ft
7 Nov 22:00Z	26.16 ft
7 Nov 23:00Z	26.09 ft
00:00Z	26.01 ft
01:00Z	25.91 ft
02:00Z	25.78 ft
03:00Z	25.59 ft
04:00Z	25.59 ft
05:00Z	25.59 ft
06:00Z	25.59 ft
07:00Z	25.59 ft
08:00Z	25.59 ft
09:00Z	25.59 ft
10:00Z	25.59 ft
11:00Z	25.59 ft
12:00Z	25.51 ft
13:00Z	25.51 ft
14:00Z	25.51 ft
15:00Z	25.51 ft
16:00Z	25.51 ft
17:00Z	25.51 ft
18:00Z	25.51 ft
19:00Z	25.51 ft
20:00Z	25.51 ft
21:00Z	25.51 ft
22:00Z	25.51 ft
23:00Z	25.51 ft
9 Nov 00:00Z	25.51 ft
9 Nov 01:00Z	25.51 ft
9 Nov 02:00Z	25.51 ft
9 Nov 03:00Z	25.39 ft
9 Nov 04:00Z	25.39 ft
9 Nov 05:00Z	25.39 ft
9 Nov 06:00Z	25.39 ft
9 Nov 07:00Z	25.39 ft
9 Nov 08:00Z	25.39 ft
9 Nov 09:00Z	25.39 ft
9 Nov 10:00Z	25.39 ft
9 Nov 11:00Z	25.39 ft
9 Nov 12:00Z	25.39 ft
9 Nov 13:00Z	25.39 ft
9 Nov 14:00Z	25.39 ft
9 Nov 15:00Z	25.39 ft
9 Nov 16:00Z	25.39 ft
9 Nov 17:00Z	25.39 ft
9 Nov 18:00Z	25.23 ft
9 Nov 19:00Z	25.23 ft
9 Nov 20:00Z	25.23 ft
9 Nov 21:00Z	25.23 ft
9 Nov 22:00Z	25.23 ft
9 Nov 23:00Z	25.23 ft
10 Nov 00:00Z	25.23 ft
10 Nov 01:00Z	25.23 ft
10 Nov 02:00Z	25.23 ft
10 Nov 03:00Z	25.23 ft
10 Nov 04:00Z	25.23 ft
10 Nov 05:00Z	25.23 ft
10 Nov 06:00Z	25.23 ft
10 Nov 07:00Z	25.23 ft
10 Nov 08:00Z	25.23 ft
10 Nov 09:00Z	25.23 ft
10 Nov 10:00Z	25.23 ft
10 Nov 11:00Z	25.11 ft
10 Nov 12:00Z	25.11 ft
10 Nov 13:00Z	25.11 ft
10 Nov 14:00Z	25.11 ft
10 Nov 15:00Z	25.11 ft
10 Nov 16:00Z	25.11 ft
10 Nov 17:00Z	25.11 ft
10 Nov 18:00Z	25.11 ft
10 Nov 19:00Z	25.11 ft
10 Nov 20:00Z	25.11 ft
10 Nov 21:00Z	25.11 ft
10 Nov 22:00Z	25.11 ft
10 Nov 23:00Z	25.11 ft
11 Nov 00:00Z	25.11 ft
11 Nov 01:00Z	25.11 ft
11 Nov 02:00Z	25.11 ft
11 Nov 03:00Z	25.11 ft
11 Nov 04:00Z	24.85 ft
11 Nov 05:00Z	24.85 ft
11 Nov 06:00Z	24.85 ft
11 Nov 07:00Z	24.85 ft
11 Nov 08:00Z	24.85 ft
11 Nov 09:00Z	24.85 ft
11 Nov 10:00Z	24.85 ft
11 Nov 11:00Z	24.85 ft
11 Nov 12:00Z	24.85 ft
11 Nov 13:00Z	24.85 ft
11 Nov 14:00Z	24.85 ft
11 Nov 15:00Z	24.85 ft
11 Nov 16:00Z	24.85 ft
11 Nov 17:00Z	24.85 ft
11 Nov 18:00Z	24.85 ft
11 Nov 19:00Z	24.85 ft
11 Nov 20:00Z	24.85 ft
11 Nov 21:00Z	24.85 ft
11 Nov 22:00Z	24.85 ft
11 Nov 23:00Z	24.85 ft
12 Nov 00:00Z	24.85 ft
12 Nov 01:00Z	24.85 ft
12 Nov 02:00Z	24.85 ft
12 Nov 03:00Z	24.85 ft
12 Nov 04:00Z	24.85 ft
12 Nov 05:00Z	24.85 ft
12 Nov 06:00Z	24.85 ft
12 Nov 07:00Z	24.85 ft
12 Nov 08:00Z	24.85 ft
12 Nov 09:00Z	24.85 ft
12 Nov 10:00Z	24.85 ft
12 Nov 11:00Z	24.85 ft
12 Nov 12:00Z	24.85 ft
12 Nov 13:00Z	24.85 ft
12 Nov 14:00Z	24.85 ft
12 Nov 15:00Z	24.85 ft
12 Nov 16:00Z	24.85 ft
12 Nov 17:00Z	24.85 ft
12 Nov 18:00Z	24.85 ft
12 Nov 19:00Z	24.85 ft
12 Nov 20:00Z	24.85 ft

What NWS lists at this gauge

27 ft: At 27.0 feet water begins to encroach on homes in lower Moenkopi Village and floods crop fields along the river.

NWS’s statements for this gauge’s water at each stage, up to the highest observed or forecast. A gauge does not say whether a particular road or neighbourhood near it floods. Read 09:15Z.

NWPS’s page for MOEA3 On the Live tracker’s map River flood warnings in Arizona

Rain and rivers in Arizona

Expected rain: below WPC’s lowest contour (0.01 in) in Arizona, in WPC’s forecast for the 24 hours 9 Nov 00:00Z to 10 Nov 00:00Z. An amount for the area its contour covers, not a total for any one street.
Rain that fell: 0.01 to 0.1 in at its highest in Arizona, in the 24 hours to 18:00Z, by MRMS’s radar estimate over a grid about 5 km across: a measurement of the past, not corrected to rain gauges.
Rivers: 1 gauge in flood in Arizona, by NWS’s lists read 18:25Z. Minor flooding Moenkopi Wash at Tuba city, AZ. Observed 27.89 ft at 16:45Z: minor flooding. No forecast at action stage or above. A gauge measures its river at that spot, not whether a road or a neighbourhood floods.

Three sources, each its own window. None is a chance of flash flooding, which is WPC’s outlook above; a flash flood is a warning’s. Gauges in the Live tracker

On the Briefing’s map

Flash-flood risk WPC’s Excessive Rainfall Outlook: a chance, in four categories
Expected rain WPC’s 24-hour rain forecast, in inches
Rain that fell MRMS’s radar estimate for the past 24 or 72 hours

River, coastal and lake gauges in Arizona

One gauge in flood in Arizona, observed or forecast. Choose one for its forecast hydrograph.

Minor flooding 1

Observed: minor flooding Moenkopi Wash at Tuba city, AZObserved 27.89 ft at 16:45Z: minor flooding

Action stage, not flooding 1

Action stage is the level at which NWS and local officials begin to act; the water is not yet at flood stage.

Observed: action stage Gila River at Painted Rock Lake, AZObserved 571.81 ft at 17:00Z: action stage

A gauge measures its water at that one place. Flash flooding, which comes in hours from heavy rain, is in the warnings as Flash Flood Warnings; a river can be in flood with no rain falling.

Gauges observed checked 18:25Z · Data: NOAA/NWS

Gauges forecast checked 18:25Z · Data: NOAA/NWS

Gauge impacts and forecasts checked 18:25Z · Data: NOAA/NWPS

Arizona flash-flood briefing

Not an official warning service. Warnings and watches are the National Weather Service’s, outlooks and reports the Storm Prediction Center’s and the Weather Prediction Center’s (Data: NOAA/NWS, NOAA/SPC, NOAA/WPC). When a warning is issued for you, act on it, and use weather.gov or a NOAA Weather Radio for where you are.