Weather Center: Florida

Current alerts

6 flood warnings touch Florida. 6 river flood warnings (touching Florida)

Open live tracker

NWS alerts checked 18:51Z · Data: NOAA/NWS

Sources & update times

SPC Day 1 outlook issued 16:14Z · Data: NOAA/SPC

SPC Day 2 outlook issued 16:39Z · Data: NOAA/SPC

SPC Day 3 outlook issued 08:22Z · Data: NOAA/SPC

SPC discussions checked 18:51Z · Data: NOAA/SPC

SPC storm reports checked 18:50Z · Data: NOAA/SPC

WPC Day 1 outlook issued 15:58Z · Data: NOAA/WPC

WPC Day 2 outlook issued 08:10Z · Data: NOAA/WPC

WPC Day 3 outlook checked 18:50Z · Data: NOAA/WPC

Each feed is judged on its own clock. The masthead’s reading is the site’s publishing health, which is a different thing: a publishing delay does not make a freshly read warning stale, and a fresh check does not make an old outlook newly issued.

NWS warnings / SPC selected outlook: feeds current

NWS warnings: Feed current; checked 18:51Z.

SPC selected outlook: Feed current; checked 18:50Z.

Checked means retrieved, not newly issued. Each graphic retains its issue, observation, initialization or valid time. Site publishing status is separate.

Potential too low: SPC expects too little severe weather to outline a 15% area. Neither means no hazardous weather.

Hazard & forecast product

Days 4–8 carry one product: SPC’s chance of any severe storm, outlined at 15% and 30%.

SPC Day 5 outlook, any severe, Thursday 12 Nov

Source: SPC

Forecast: SPC’s scale

SPC Day 5 outlook, any severe: Potential too low

SPC Day 5 outlook, any severe, valid 12 Nov 12:00Z to 13 Nov 12:00Z, issued 09:45Z · Data: NOAA/SPC.

Everything on the map, as a list

SPC Day 5 outlook, any severe: Potential too low

Briefing details · Where, When, Main hazards

Thursday planning outlook for Florida

SPC Days 4–8 · planning

Highest anywhere in Florida: Potential too low

Potential too low: SPC expects too little severe weather to outline even a 15% area. That is a low chance, not no chance.

Where: No area is outlined anywhere for this day.
When: 12 Nov 12:00Z to 13 Nov 12:00Z: SPC’s Day 5, counted from its issuance at 09:45Z. No time of day is given.
Prepare: No preparation is indicated by this planning outlook. Check again as the day comes closer.

Official discussion

SPC’s discussion covers the whole country and all five days, not Florida alone.

SPC Day 4–8 Convective Outlook, issued 09:47Z · Data: NOAA/SPC

000
ACUS48 KWNS 080947
SWOD48
SPC AC 080945

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0345 AM CST Sun Nov 08 2026

Valid 111200Z - 161200Z

...DISCUSSION...
During the Day 4 to 8 period, a cyclonic mid-level flow pattern will
be in place over the eastern U.S, with a series of shortwave troughs
moving through the large-scale trough. Ahead of this feature,
thunderstorm development will be possible in the southern Great
Lakes and Ohio Valley on Wednesday, and in parts of the central
Appalachians on Thursday. Further west, an upper-level ridge will
move slowly eastward across the western and central U.S. At the
surface, high pressure is forecast to settle into the Gulf Coast
states from Friday to Sunday, limiting thunderstorm potential across
the majority of the nation.

..Broyles.. 11/08/2026

SPC’s Days 4–8 page

Forecast details

SPC’s Days 4–8 outlook outlines where it sees at least a 15% or a 30% chance of severe thunderstorms within 25 miles of a point on each day. It has no categories and no hazard of its own. “Potential too low” means SPC expects too little severe weather to outline 15%; “Predictability too low” means the forecasts differ too much to place an area, and severe storms are not ruled out. A day further out is less certain than Days 1–3. SPC’s Days 4–8 page.

Coming days · Florida

2026-11-08Severe storms: No severe area outlinedFlash flooding: No excessive-rainfall area outlined 2026-11-09Severe storms: No severe area outlinedFlash flooding: No excessive-rainfall area outlined 2026-11-10Severe storms: No severe area outlinedFlash flooding: No excessive-rainfall area outlined

These are daily outlooks, not arrival times. Days 4–8 retain SPC’s predictability and potential-too-low wording in the dated outlook controls.

Flash-flood risk

WPC outlines no excessive rainfall area at this scope. WPC’s Excessive Rainfall Outlook: a separate forecast with its own scale.

View flash-flood risk

River flooding

9 gauges in flood in Florida, observed or forecast.

Major flooding St. Johns River at Cocoa, FL (forecast)
Moderate flooding St. Johns River at Astor, FL (forecast)
Moderate flooding St. Johns River at Lake Harney, FL (observed)

And six more gauges in flood.

A gauge measures its river at that spot; it does not say whether a particular road or neighbourhood floods. Flash flooding is in the warnings.

Gauges in the Live tracker

Recent reports

Reporting period: 12Z 8 Nov – 12Z 9 Nov

0 tornado · 0 wind · 0 hail in Florida

Preliminary reports: a count of reports, not of storms. None reported is not proof that nothing happened.

View reports: map, table & download

No watches or mesoscale discussions in Florida. Watches, discussions and warnings in the Live tracker

Warnings in Florida

6 warnings touching Florida

6 warnings touch Florida, most urgent first. A warning across a state line is counted here and in the other state.

NWS alerts checked 18:51Z · Data: NOAA/NWS

Since 17:52Z: no change in the warnings.

Warnings 6

Flood DeSoto County, FL until 9 Nov 02:00Z Track: Flood Warning, DeSoto County, FL
Flood Lake and Volusia counties, FL until 9 Nov 16:30Z Track: Flood Warning, Lake and Volusia counties, FL
Flood Lake and Volusia counties, FL until 9 Nov 16:30Z Track: Flood Warning, Lake and Volusia counties, FL
Flood Brevard County, FL until 9 Nov 16:30Z Track: Flood Warning, Brevard County, FL
Flood Seminole County, FL until 9 Nov 16:30Z Track: Flood Warning, Seminole County, FL

All 6 warnings touching Florida, with their full text, in the Live tracker

15 warnings elsewhere in the country: the national list. Track Florida live

Not an official warning service. Warnings and watches are the National Weather Service’s, outlooks and reports the Storm Prediction Center’s and the Weather Prediction Center’s (Data: NOAA/NWS, NOAA/SPC, NOAA/WPC). When a warning is issued for you, act on it, and use weather.gov or a NOAA Weather Radio for where you are.

Weather Center