Weather Center

Current alerts

Flash flood warnings in Texas. Nineteen warnings are in effect in seven states. 4 flash flood warnings 1 high wind warning 8 river flood warnings 4 areal flood warnings 2 high surf warnings 7 states (distinct warnings nationwide)

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NWS alerts checked 18:05Z · Data: NOAA/NWS

Sources & update times

SPC Day 1 outlook issued 16:14Z · Data: NOAA/SPC

SPC Day 2 outlook issued 16:39Z · Data: NOAA/SPC

SPC Day 3 outlook issued 08:22Z · Data: NOAA/SPC

SPC discussions checked 18:05Z · Data: NOAA/SPC

SPC storm reports checked 18:05Z · Data: NOAA/SPC

WPC Day 1 outlook issued 15:58Z · Data: NOAA/WPC

WPC Day 2 outlook issued 08:10Z · Data: NOAA/WPC

WPC Day 3 outlook checked 18:05Z · Data: NOAA/WPC

Each feed is judged on its own clock. The masthead’s reading is the site’s publishing health, which is a different thing: a publishing delay does not make a freshly read warning stale, and a fresh check does not make an old outlook newly issued.

NWS warnings / SPC selected outlook: feeds current

NWS warnings: Feed current; checked 18:05Z.

SPC selected outlook: Feed current; checked 18:05Z.

Checked means retrieved, not newly issued. Each graphic retains its issue, observation, initialization or valid time. Site publishing status is separate.

Hazard & forecast product

SPC Day 1 hail probability, Sunday 8 Nov

Source: SPC

Forecast: SPC’s scale

SPC Day 1 hail probability: Less Than 5% All Areas

In force now

Flash Flood Warning 4
High Wind Warning 1
Flood Warning 12
High Surf Warning 2

SPC Day 1 hail probability, valid 16:30Z to 9 Nov 12:00Z, issued 16:14Z · Data: NOAA/SPC. Warnings and watches are as of 18:05Z (now), not for the outlook’s period.

Everything on the map, as a list

SPC Day 1 hail probability: Less Than 5% All Areas
Flash Flood Warning: Nueces County, TX, until 18:45Z
Flash Flood Warning: Cameron County, TX, until 19:15Z
Flash Flood Warning: Duval, Jim Wells and Kleberg counties, TX, until 19:15Z
Flash Flood Warning: Kleberg County, TX, until 19:30Z
High Wind Warning: East Glacier Park Region; Northern High Plains; Eastern Glacier, Western Toole, and Central Pondera; Southern High Plains; Eastern Toole and Liberty; Hill County; Northern Blaine County; Eastern Pondera and Eastern Teton; Western and Central Chouteau County; Bears Paw Mountains and Southern Blaine; Cascade County below 5000ft; Judith Basin County and Judith Gap, until 9 Nov 03:00Z
Flood Warning: DeSoto County, FL, until 9 Nov 02:00Z
Flood Warning: Lake and Volusia counties, FL, until 9 Nov 16:30Z
Flood Warning: Lake and Volusia counties, FL, until 9 Nov 16:30Z
Flood Warning: Brevard County, FL, until 9 Nov 16:30Z
Flood Warning: Seminole County, FL, until 9 Nov 16:30Z
Flood Warning: Seminole County, FL, until 9 Nov 16:45Z
Flood Warning: Maricopa County, AZ, until 9 Nov 18:00Z
Flood Warning: Maricopa County, AZ, until 9 Nov 18:00Z
Flood Warning: Maricopa County, AZ, until 9 Nov 18:00Z
Flood Warning: Maricopa County, AZ, until 9 Nov 18:00Z
Flood Warning: Benton and Iowa counties, IA, until 10 Nov 01:00Z
Flood Warning: Nueces County, TX, until 12 Nov 00:00Z
High Surf Warning: Clatsop County Coast; Tillamook County Coast; South Washington Coast, until 9 Nov 06:00Z
High Surf Warning: Northern Washington Coast; Grays Harbor County Coast, until 9 Nov 06:00Z

Briefing details · Where, When, Main hazards

Sunday briefing

National maximum: no area outlined

This is the outlook, a forecast. Warnings in force here are listed above it and outrank it.

When

Timing, approximate: SPC’s summary: “Strong to locally severe thunderstorms may occur today across parts of south Texas. Isolated damaging winds and perhaps a brief tornado appear possible.”

Outlook valid 16:30Z to 9 Nov 12:00Z: the period it covers, not when storms arrive.

Prepare

Know how your community sends warnings. NWS
There is no safe place outside when thunderstorms are in the area. … When Thunder Roars, Go Indoors. NWS
Do NOT drive into flooded roadways or around a barricade; Turn Around, Don't Drown! NWS

In the National Weather Service’s words, from weather.gov.

Official discussion

SPC Day 1 Convective Outlook narrative, issued 16:16Z · Data: NOAA/SPC

000
ACUS01 KWNS 081616
SWODY1
SPC AC 081614

Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1014 AM CST Sun Nov 08 2026

Valid 081630Z - 091200Z

...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY ALONG THE
MIDDLE-LOWER TEXAS COAST...

...SUMMARY...
Strong to locally severe thunderstorms may occur today across parts
of south Texas. Isolated damaging winds and perhaps a brief tornado
appear possible.

...Middle-lower TX coast today...
A midlevel low over northern Mexico will drift slowly eastward and
weaken through the period.  At the surface, a baroclinic zone along
the middle-lower TX coast will provide a focus for thunderstorms
rooted at the surface, where boundary-layer dewpoints will remain
near 70 F.  Per the 12z observed soundings/VWPs/model forecasts,
deep-layer vertical shear will remain sufficient for some embedded
rotating storms, with the relatively stronger low-level
shear/hodograph curvature expected along the north edge of the
surface-based buoyancy with a small MCV just south of CRP.  Poor
midlevel lapse rates will temper the overall severe threat, though
an isolated, weak tornado and/or localized wind damage will be
possible with embedded circulations today.

Otherwise, elevated thunderstorms will remain possible from the
Edwards Plateau into interior south TX in a moist environment with
ascent and weak buoyancy atop the cooler near-surface air mass.

...Pacific Northwest and the lower Great Lakes...
The potential for isolated lightning flashes with low-topped
convection will diminish across northwest WA by about midday as a
midlevel trough moves inland and height rises ensue.  A separate
midlevel trough will continue southeastward over the lower Great
Lakes by this evening into early tonight.  Cooling midlevel
temperatures and weak buoyancy aided by the relatively warm lakes
will support convection that could become sufficiently deep to
support charge separation and isolated lightning flashes.

..Thompson/Barnes.. 11/08/2026

$$

SPC’s outlook page

Forecast details

SPC’s categorical outlook rates the coverage and intensity of organized severe storms on five levels, from Marginal (1) to High (5); “Thunderstorms” outlines a 10% or greater chance of thunderstorms and is not a severe category. Each probability is the chance of that hazard within 25 miles of a point during the valid period. An intensity overlay marks where significant severe hazards are more likely should storms occur. An outlook is a forecast; a warning means a storm is happening or imminent. SPC’s definitions.

Coming days · National

2026-11-08Severe storms: Marginal (1 of 5)Flash flooding: Slight (2 of 4)2026-11-09Severe storms: No severe area outlinedFlash flooding: Marginal (1 of 4)2026-11-10Severe storms: No severe area outlinedFlash flooding: No excessive-rainfall area outlined

These are daily outlooks, not arrival times. Days 4–8 retain SPC’s predictability and potential-too-low wording in the dated outlook controls.

Flash-flood risk

Slight risk of excessive rainfall at its highest, today. WPC’s Excessive Rainfall Outlook: a separate forecast with its own scale.

View flash-flood risk

Recent reports

Reporting period: 12Z 8 Nov – 12Z 9 Nov

0 tornado · 0 wind · 0 hail

Preliminary reports: a count of reports, not of storms. None reported is not proof that nothing happened.

View reports: map, table & download

No watches or mesoscale discussions. Watches, discussions and warnings in the Live tracker

Warnings nationwide

19 warnings in 7 states

19 distinct warnings in effect. The Live tracker lists every one with its full text; the most urgent are here too.

NWS alerts checked 18:05Z · Data: NOAA/NWS

Since 17:06Z: no change in the warnings.

Storms 0

None in effect.

Flooding 16

Other weather 3

Other 3

Most warnings by state

Every warning, most urgent first, in the Live tracker

Not an official warning service. Warnings and watches are the National Weather Service’s, outlooks and reports the Storm Prediction Center’s and the Weather Prediction Center’s (Data: NOAA/NWS, NOAA/SPC, NOAA/WPC). When a warning is issued for you, act on it, and use weather.gov or a NOAA Weather Radio for where you are.