Weather Center: Oregon

Current alerts

2 high surf warnings touch Oregon. 2 high surf warnings (touching Oregon)

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NWS alerts checked 18:40Z · Data: NOAA/NWS

Sources & update times

SPC Day 1 outlook issued 16:14Z · Data: NOAA/SPC

SPC Day 2 outlook issued 16:39Z · Data: NOAA/SPC

SPC Day 3 outlook issued 08:22Z · Data: NOAA/SPC

SPC discussions checked 18:40Z · Data: NOAA/SPC

SPC storm reports checked 18:40Z · Data: NOAA/SPC

WPC Day 1 outlook issued 15:58Z · Data: NOAA/WPC

WPC Day 2 outlook issued 08:10Z · Data: NOAA/WPC

WPC Day 3 outlook checked 18:40Z · Data: NOAA/WPC

Each feed is judged on its own clock. The masthead’s reading is the site’s publishing health, which is a different thing: a publishing delay does not make a freshly read warning stale, and a fresh check does not make an old outlook newly issued.

NWS warnings / SPC selected outlook: feeds current

NWS warnings: Feed current; checked 18:40Z.

SPC selected outlook: Feed current; checked 18:40Z.

Checked means retrieved, not newly issued. Each graphic retains its issue, observation, initialization or valid time. Site publishing status is separate.

Hazard & forecast product

SPC Day 2 hail probability, Monday 9 Nov

Source: SPC

Now, not forecast: Current warnings as of 18:40Z are drawn over the outlook for Monday 9 Nov, the warnings hatched so the forecast shows through. They are in force now; the outlook is for its own period. Show the forecast alone

Forecast: SPC’s scale

SPC Day 2 hail probability: Less Than 5% All Areas

In force now

High Surf Warning 2
High Wind Warning outside Oregon

SPC Day 2 hail probability, valid 9 Nov 12:00Z to 10 Nov 12:00Z, issued 16:39Z · Data: NOAA/SPC. Warnings and watches are as of 18:40Z (now), not for the outlook’s period.

Everything on the map, as a list

SPC Day 2 hail probability: Less Than 5% All Areas
High Surf Warning: South Central Oregon Coast; Curry County Coast, until 9 Nov 06:00Z
High Surf Warning: Central Coast of Oregon; Clatsop County Coast; Tillamook County Coast; South Washington Coast, until 9 Nov 06:00Z
Outside Oregon, for context: High Wind Warning: East Glacier Park Region; Northern High Plains; Eastern Glacier, Western Toole, and Central Pondera; Southern High Plains; Eastern Toole and Liberty; Hill County; Northern Blaine County; Eastern Pondera and Eastern Teton; Western and Central Chouteau County; Bears Paw Mountains and Southern Blaine; Cascade County below 5000ft; Judith Basin County and Judith Gap, until 9 Nov 03:00Z
Outside Oregon, for context: High Surf Warning: Northern Washington Coast; Grays Harbor County Coast, until 9 Nov 06:00Z

Briefing details · Where, When, Main hazards

Monday briefing for Oregon

Highest anywhere in Oregon: no area outlined

This is the outlook, a forecast. Warnings in force here are listed above it and outrank it.

The highest category anywhere in the state, from its outline; not every point in it.

When: Outlook valid 9 Nov 12:00Z to 10 Nov 12:00Z: the period it covers, not when storms arrive. This period has not begun.
Prepare: No additional severe-weather preparation is indicated by this outlook.

Official discussion

SPC’s discussion covers the whole country, not Oregon alone.

SPC Day 2 Convective Outlook narrative, issued 16:40Z · Data: NOAA/SPC

000
ACUS02 KWNS 081640
SWODY2
SPC AC 081639

Day 2 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1039 AM CST Sun Nov 08 2026

Valid 091200Z - 101200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
There appears little risk for severe thunderstorm activity across
the U.S. Monday through Monday night.

...Discussion...
Models continue to indicate that a strong, initially zonal,
mid/upper jet across the mid-latitude Pacific will undergo
amplification Monday through Monday night.  As this occurs, split
downstream flow, across and inland of the Pacific coast, may trend
more confluent east of the Rockies through the Atlantic
Seaboard.  Within an evolving branch across the subtropical
latitudes, it appears that a remnant cyclonic mid-level circulation
will continue to become increasingly sheared across and
east-northeast of the Texas Big Bend vicinity.  Upstream, one or two
short wave perturbations emerging from the mid-latitude eastern
Pacific are also forecast to undergo considerable deformation, while
progressing inland within generally building larger-scale mid-level
ridging.

...Southern Texas...
Recent runs of the Rapid Refresh and High-Resolution Rapid Refresh
support previous other model output indicating that potential for
occasional scattered thunderstorm development will continue into
this period.  It appears that this will still be largely supported
by forcing for ascent associated with lower/mid-tropospheric warm
advection, downstream of the weakening mid-level perturbation into
Monday afternoon, before tending to diminish by Monday evening.

...Pacific Northwest...
REFS, and now GEFS, calibrated thunderstorm guidance continue to
indicate at least low probabilities for convection capable of
producing lightning across and inland of the Oregon coast into
Cascades by late Monday afternoon.  This would likely
accompany destabilization beneath an inland progressing thermal
trough, in the presence of strengthening and moistening low-level
onshore flow.  However, coldest mid-level temperatures (including
-18 to -22 C around 500 mb) overspreading the Pacific Northwest are
forecast to remain rather modest in magnitude, and it remains
unclear in forecast soundings the extent to which thermodynamic
profiles will become supportive of lightning discharge.  At this
point, thunderstorm probabilities still appear less than 10 percent,
with any convection that becomes capable of producing lightning
brief in nature and rather sparse in coverage.

..Kerr.. 11/08/2026

$$

SPC’s outlook page

Forecast details

SPC’s categorical outlook rates the coverage and intensity of organized severe storms on five levels, from Marginal (1) to High (5); “Thunderstorms” outlines a 10% or greater chance of thunderstorms and is not a severe category. Each probability is the chance of that hazard within 25 miles of a point during the valid period. An intensity overlay marks where significant severe hazards are more likely should storms occur. An outlook is a forecast; a warning means a storm is happening or imminent. SPC’s definitions.

Coming days · Oregon

2026-11-08Severe storms: No severe area outlinedFlash flooding: No excessive-rainfall area outlined 2026-11-09Severe storms: No severe area outlinedFlash flooding: No excessive-rainfall area outlined 2026-11-10Severe storms: No severe area outlinedFlash flooding: No excessive-rainfall area outlined

These are daily outlooks, not arrival times. Days 4–8 retain SPC’s predictability and potential-too-low wording in the dated outlook controls.

Flash-flood risk

WPC outlines no excessive rainfall area at this scope. WPC’s Excessive Rainfall Outlook: a separate forecast with its own scale.

View flash-flood risk

Recent reports

Reporting period: 12Z 8 Nov – 12Z 9 Nov

0 tornado · 0 wind · 0 hail in Oregon

Preliminary reports: a count of reports, not of storms. None reported is not proof that nothing happened.

View reports: map, table & download

No watches or mesoscale discussions in Oregon. Watches, discussions and warnings in the Live tracker

Warnings in Oregon

2 warnings touching Oregon

2 warnings touch Oregon, most urgent first. A warning across a state line is counted here and in the other state.

NWS alerts checked 18:40Z · Data: NOAA/NWS

Since 17:41Z: no change in the warnings.

Warnings 2

High surf South Central Oregon Coast; Curry County Coast until 9 Nov 06:00Z Track: High Surf Warning, South Central Oregon Coast; Curry County Coast
High surf Central Coast of Oregon; Clatsop County Coast; Tillamook County Coast; South Washington Coast until 9 Nov 06:00Z crosses Oregon and Washington Track: High Surf Warning, Central Coast of Oregon; Clatsop County Coast; Tillamook County Coast; South Washington Coast

All 2 warnings touching Oregon, with their full text, in the Live tracker

19 warnings elsewhere in the country: the national list. Track Oregon live

Not an official warning service. Warnings and watches are the National Weather Service’s, outlooks and reports the Storm Prediction Center’s and the Weather Prediction Center’s (Data: NOAA/NWS, NOAA/SPC, NOAA/WPC). When a warning is issued for you, act on it, and use weather.gov or a NOAA Weather Radio for where you are.

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