Weather Center: North Dakota

NWS warnings: current · no activity

NWS warnings: Current · no activity; checked 18:57Z.

WPC selected forecast: Feed current; checked 18:55Z.

Checked means retrieved, not newly issued. Each graphic retains its issue, observation, initialization or valid time. Site publishing status is separate.

Hazard & forecast product

WPC Day 3 Excessive Rainfall Outlook, Tuesday 10 Nov

Source: WPC

Forecast: WPC’s scale

No risk area is outlined for this period

View scale

1 · Marginal (not outlined)
2 · Slight (not outlined)
3 · Moderate (not outlined)
4 · High (not outlined)

WPC Day 3 Excessive Rainfall Outlook, valid 10 Nov 12:00Z to 11 Nov 12:00Z · Data: NOAA/WPC.

Everything on the map, as a list

WPC Day 3 Excessive Rainfall Outlook: No excessive rainfall risk area outlined

Briefing details · Where, When, Main hazards

Tuesday briefing for North Dakota

Highest anywhere in North Dakota: no area outlined

The highest category anywhere in the state, from its outline; not every point in it.

When: Outlook valid 10 Nov 12:00Z to 11 Nov 12:00Z: the period it covers, not when storms arrive. This period has not begun.
Prepare: No additional flood preparation is indicated by this outlook.
Rain and rivers: Expected rain: 0.01 in or more at its highest in North Dakota, in WPC’s forecast for the 24 hours 10 Nov 00:00Z to 11 Nov 00:00Z. An amount for the area its contour covers, not a total for any one street.
Rain that fell: under 0.01 in at its highest in North Dakota, in the 24 hours to 18:00Z, by MRMS’s radar estimate over a grid about 5 km across: a measurement of the past, not corrected to rain gauges.
Rivers: 2 gauges in flood in North Dakota, by NWS’s lists read 18:55Z. Major flooding Devils Lake, ND. Observed 49.85 ft at 17:00Z: major flooding. No forecast at action stage or above. And 1 more. A gauge measures its river at that spot, not whether a road or a neighbourhood floods.
Three sources, each its own window. None is a chance of flash flooding, which is WPC’s outlook above; a flash flood is a warning’s. Gauges in the Live tracker

Official discussion

WPC’s discussion covers the whole country, not North Dakota alone.

WPC Excessive Rainfall Discussion, Day 3, issued 16:05Z · Data: NOAA/WPC

The probability of rainfall exceeding flash flood guidance is less
than 5 percent.

Kleebauer


Day 4 and Day 5

Valid 12Z Wed Nov 11 2026 - 12Z Fri Nov 13 2026

The probability of rainfall exceeding flash flood guidance is less
than 5 percent.

Hurley


Day 1 threat area: www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/94epoints.txt
Day 2 threat area: www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/98epoints.txt
Day 3 threat area: www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/99epoints.txt

WPC’s outlook page

Forecast details

The chance that rainfall exceeds flash flood guidance within 40 km (25 miles) of a point during the valid period, as WPC defines its categories. Marginal is at least 5%, Slight 15%, Moderate 40% and High 70%. WPC’s categories are separate from SPC’s severe-storm categories, and an outlook category is not a warning: a Flash Flood Warning means flooding is happening or imminent. WPC’s definitions.

Current alerts

No warning touches North Dakota.

Open live tracker

NWS alerts checked 18:57Z · Data: NOAA/NWS

Sources & update times

SPC Day 1 outlook issued 16:14Z · Data: NOAA/SPC

SPC Day 2 outlook issued 16:39Z · Data: NOAA/SPC

SPC Day 3 outlook issued 08:22Z · Data: NOAA/SPC

SPC discussions checked 18:57Z · Data: NOAA/SPC

SPC storm reports checked 18:55Z · Data: NOAA/SPC

WPC Day 1 outlook issued 15:58Z · Data: NOAA/WPC

WPC Day 2 outlook issued 08:10Z · Data: NOAA/WPC

WPC Day 3 outlook checked 18:55Z · Data: NOAA/WPC

Each feed is judged on its own clock. The masthead’s reading is the site’s publishing health, which is a different thing: a publishing delay does not make a freshly read warning stale, and a fresh check does not make an old outlook newly issued.

Coming days · North Dakota

2026-11-08Severe storms: No severe area outlinedFlash flooding: No excessive-rainfall area outlined 2026-11-09Severe storms: No severe area outlinedFlash flooding: No excessive-rainfall area outlined 2026-11-10Severe storms: No severe area outlinedFlash flooding: No excessive-rainfall area outlined

These are daily outlooks, not arrival times. Days 4–8 retain SPC’s predictability and potential-too-low wording in the dated outlook controls.

Severe storms

General thunderstorms at its highest nationally. SPC’s convective outlook, on its own scale.

View severe outlook

River flooding

2 gauges in flood in North Dakota, observed or forecast.

Major flooding Devils Lake, ND (observed)
Major flooding Eastern Stump Lake at Lakota, ND (observed)

A gauge measures its river at that spot; it does not say whether a particular road or neighbourhood floods. Flash flooding is in the warnings.

Gauges in the Live tracker

Recent reports

Reporting period: 12Z 8 Nov – 12Z 9 Nov

0 tornado · 0 wind · 0 hail in North Dakota

Preliminary reports: a count of reports, not of storms. None reported is not proof that nothing happened.

View reports: map, table & download

No watches or mesoscale discussions in North Dakota. Watches, discussions and warnings in the Live tracker

Not an official warning service. Warnings and watches are the National Weather Service’s, outlooks and reports the Storm Prediction Center’s and the Weather Prediction Center’s (Data: NOAA/NWS, NOAA/SPC, NOAA/WPC). When a warning is issued for you, act on it, and use weather.gov or a NOAA Weather Radio for where you are.

Weather Center