Weather Center: New Jersey

Current alerts

1 coastal flood warning touches New Jersey. 1 coastal flood warning (touching New Jersey)

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NWS alerts checked 11:59Z · Data: NOAA/NWS

Sources & update times

SPC Day 1 outlook issued 05:10Z · Data: NOAA/SPC

SPC Day 2 outlook issued 06:57Z · Data: NOAA/SPC

SPC Day 3 outlook issued 08:28Z · Data: NOAA/SPC

SPC discussions checked 11:59Z · Data: NOAA/SPC

SPC storm reports checked 11:55Z · Data: NOAA/SPC

WPC Day 1 outlook checked 11:55Z · Data: NOAA/WPC

WPC Day 2 outlook issued 08:00Z · Data: NOAA/WPC

WPC Day 3 outlook issued 08:00Z · Data: NOAA/WPC

Each feed is judged on its own clock. The masthead’s reading is the site’s publishing health, which is a different thing: a publishing delay does not make a freshly read warning stale, and a fresh check does not make an old outlook newly issued.

NWS warnings / SPC selected outlook: feeds current

NWS warnings: Feed current; checked 11:59Z.

SPC selected outlook: Feed current; checked 11:55Z.

Checked means retrieved, not newly issued. Each graphic retains its issue, observation, initialization or valid time. Site publishing status is separate.

Hazard & forecast product

SPC Day 1 wind probability, Friday 13 Nov

Source: SPC

Forecast: SPC’s scale

SPC Day 1 wind probability: Less Than 5% All Areas

In force now

Coastal Flood Warning 1

SPC Day 1 wind probability, valid 12:00Z to 14 Nov 12:00Z, issued 05:10Z · Data: NOAA/SPC. Warnings and watches are as of 11:59Z (now), not for the outlook’s period.

Everything on the map, as a list

SPC Day 1 wind probability: Less Than 5% All Areas
Coastal Flood Warning: Ocean; Coastal Ocean, until 20:00Z

Briefing details · Where, When, Main hazards

Friday briefing for New Jersey

Highest anywhere in New Jersey: no area outlined

This is the outlook, a forecast. Warnings in force here are listed above it and outrank it.

The highest category anywhere in the state, from its outline; not every point in it.

When: Outlook valid 12:00Z to 14 Nov 12:00Z: the period it covers, not when storms arrive.
Prepare: A warning is in force here: follow its instructions in Current alerts first.

Official discussion

SPC’s discussion covers the whole country, not New Jersey alone.

SPC Day 1 Convective Outlook narrative, issued 05:11Z · Data: NOAA/SPC

000
ACUS01 KWNS 130511
SWODY1
SPC AC 130510

Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1110 PM CST Thu Nov 12 2026

Valid 131200Z - 141200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not forecast across the U.S. today and
tonight.

...Synopsis...

An upper shortwave trough near the California coast this morning
will shift east toward the southern Rockies by Saturday morning.
Cooling aloft will support weak instability across portions of
southern AZ/NM to Far West TX. Boundary layer moisture is expected
to remain modest, with the dewpoints generally in the 40s and 50s F.
This will support scattered thunderstorms during the afternoon
across southern AZ/NM, spreading eastward toward southwest TX by
late afternoon/early evening. Southerly deep-layer flow is forecast,
with effective shear magnitudes generally around 20-25 kt. Modest
shear and instability will likely limit severe potential, though
gusty winds and small hail could occur with the strongest storms. 

Additional thunderstorms are possible across portions of coastal OR
into northern/central CA as a second upper shortwave trough moves
inland across the Pacific Northwest and Great Basin. A lightning
flash or two is possible during the nighttime hours from central CA
into the Great Basin, but overall coverage is expected to remain
less than 10 percent.

..Leitman/Chalmers.. 11/13/2026

$$

SPC’s outlook page

Forecast details

SPC’s categorical outlook rates the coverage and intensity of organized severe storms on five levels, from Marginal (1) to High (5); “Thunderstorms” outlines a 10% or greater chance of thunderstorms and is not a severe category. Each probability is the chance of that hazard within 25 miles of a point during the valid period. An intensity overlay marks where significant severe hazards are more likely should storms occur. An outlook is a forecast; a warning means a storm is happening or imminent. SPC’s definitions.

Coming days · New Jersey

2026-11-13Severe storms: No severe area outlinedFlash flooding: No excessive-rainfall area outlined 2026-11-14Severe storms: No severe area outlinedFlash flooding: No excessive-rainfall area outlined 2026-11-15Severe storms: No severe area outlinedFlash flooding: No excessive-rainfall area outlined

These are daily outlooks, not arrival times. Days 4–8 retain SPC’s predictability and potential-too-low wording in the dated outlook controls.

Flash-flood risk

WPC outlines no excessive rainfall area at this scope. WPC’s Excessive Rainfall Outlook: a separate forecast with its own scale.

View flash-flood risk

River flooding

8 gauges in flood in New Jersey, observed or forecast.

Moderate flooding Barnegat Bay at Barnegat Light (IN MLLW), NJ (forecast)
Minor flooding New Jersey Atlantic Coast at Atlantic City (ocean front) (IN MLLW), NJ (forecast)
Minor flooding Maurice River at Bivalve (IN MLLW), NJ (forecast)

And five more gauges in flood.

A gauge measures its river at that spot; it does not say whether a particular road or neighbourhood floods. Flash flooding is in the warnings.

Gauges in the Live tracker

Recent reports

Reporting period: 12Z 12 Nov – 12Z 13 Nov

0 tornado · 4 wind · 19 hail in New Jersey · largest hail 1.75 in

Preliminary reports: a count of reports, not of storms.

View reports: map, table & download

No watches or mesoscale discussions in New Jersey. National context: one other mesoscale discussion is in force outside New Jersey. Watches, discussions and warnings in the Live tracker

Warnings in New Jersey

1 warning touching New Jersey

1 warning touches New Jersey, most urgent first. A warning across a state line is counted here and in the other state.

NWS alerts checked 11:59Z · Data: NOAA/NWS

Since 11:00Z: no change in the warnings.

Warnings 1

Coastal flood Ocean; Coastal Ocean until 20:00Z Track: Coastal Flood Warning, Ocean; Coastal Ocean

All 1 warning touching New Jersey, with their full text, in the Live tracker

33 warnings elsewhere in the country: the national list. Track New Jersey live

Not an official warning service. Warnings and watches are the National Weather Service’s, outlooks and reports the Storm Prediction Center’s and the Weather Prediction Center’s (Data: NOAA/NWS, NOAA/SPC, NOAA/WPC). When a warning is issued for you, act on it, and use weather.gov or a NOAA Weather Radio for where you are.

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