Weather Center

Current alerts

A blizzard warning in Alaska. 34 warnings are in effect in seventeen states. 1 blizzard warning 5 winter storm warnings 2 high wind warnings 6 river flood warnings 1 areal flood warning 3 coastal flood warnings 5 high surf warnings 11 freeze warnings 17 states (distinct warnings nationwide)

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NWS alerts checked 12:25Z · Data: NOAA/NWS

Sources & update times

SPC Day 1 outlook issued 05:10Z · Data: NOAA/SPC

SPC Day 2 outlook issued 06:57Z · Data: NOAA/SPC

SPC Day 3 outlook issued 08:28Z · Data: NOAA/SPC

SPC discussions checked 12:25Z · Data: NOAA/SPC

SPC storm reports checked 12:25Z · Data: NOAA/SPC

WPC Day 1 outlook checked 12:25Z · Data: NOAA/WPC

WPC Day 2 outlook issued 08:00Z · Data: NOAA/WPC

WPC Day 3 outlook issued 08:00Z · Data: NOAA/WPC

Each feed is judged on its own clock. The masthead’s reading is the site’s publishing health, which is a different thing: a publishing delay does not make a freshly read warning stale, and a fresh check does not make an old outlook newly issued.

NWS warnings / SPC selected outlook: feeds current

NWS warnings: Feed current; checked 12:25Z.

SPC selected outlook: Feed current; checked 12:25Z.

Checked means retrieved, not newly issued. Each graphic retains its issue, observation, initialization or valid time. Site publishing status is separate.

Hazard & forecast product

This period does not carry the any severe view, so the overall risk is shown.

SPC Day 1 categorical outlook, Friday 13 Nov

Source: SPC

Forecast: SPC’s scale

General Thunderstorms not severe highest

View scale

General Thunderstorms not severe
1 · Marginal Risk (not outlined)
2 · Slight Risk (not outlined)
3 · Enhanced Risk (not outlined)
4 · Moderate Risk (not outlined)
5 · High Risk (not outlined)

In force now

Winter Storm Warning 5
High Wind Warning 2
Flood Warning 7
Coastal Flood Warning 3
High Surf Warning 5
Freeze Warning 11
Mesoscale discussion 1

SPC Day 1 categorical outlook, valid 12:00Z to 14 Nov 12:00Z, issued 05:10Z · Data: NOAA/SPC. Warnings and watches are as of 12:25Z (now), not for the outlook’s period.The map draws the conterminous states. Alaska has warnings too: they are counted above and listed below.

Everything on the map, as a list

SPC Day 1 categorical outlook: General Thunderstorms
Winter Storm Warning: Otsego, until 18:00Z
Winter Storm Warning: Mono; Greater Lake Tahoe Area; Greater Lake Tahoe Area, until 14 Nov 18:00Z
Winter Storm Warning: Lassen Volcanic National Park; Sierra Nevada of Sierra-Nevada-Placer Counties Above 5000 ft Including Interstate 80; Sierra Nevada of El Dorado-Amador-Northern Alpine Counties Above 5000 ft Including Highway 50; Sierra Nevada of Calaveras-Tuolumne-Southern Alpine Counties Above 5000 ft, until 14 Nov 18:00Z
Winter Storm Warning: Eastern Sierra Slopes of Inyo County, until 15 Nov 00:00Z
Winter Storm Warning: Yosemite NP outside of the valley; San Joaquin River Canyon; Upper San Joaquin River; Kaiser to Rodgers Ridge; Kings Canyon NP; Grant Grove Area; Sequoia NP, until 17 Nov 12:00Z
High Wind Warning: Coastal Del Norte, until 21:00Z
High Wind Warning: Central Siskiyou County; South Central Oregon Coast; Curry County Coast, until 21:00Z
Flood Warning: McMullen County, TX, until 16:00Z
Flood Warning: DeSoto County, FL, until 16:00Z
Flood Warning: Lake and Volusia counties, FL, until 17:00Z
Flood Warning: Brevard County, FL, until 17:00Z
Flood Warning: Seminole County, FL, until 17:00Z
Flood Warning: Seminole County, FL, until 17:00Z
Flood Warning: Maricopa and Yuma counties, AZ, until 17 Nov 18:00Z
Coastal Flood Warning: Ocean; Coastal Ocean, until 20:00Z
Coastal Flood Warning: San Juan County, until 20:00Z
Coastal Flood Warning: San Luis Obispo County Beaches; Santa Barbara County Central Coast Beaches, until 15 Nov 02:00Z
High Surf Warning: Clatsop County Coast; Tillamook County Coast; Central Coast of Oregon, until 14 Nov 20:00Z
High Surf Warning: South Central Oregon Coast; Curry County Coast, until 15 Nov 06:00Z
High Surf Warning: San Luis Obispo County Beaches; Santa Barbara County Central Coast Beaches, until 15 Nov 11:00Z
High Surf Warning: Northern Coastal Humboldt; Coastal Del Norte; Southwestern Humboldt; Coastal Mendocino, until 15 Nov 12:00Z
High Surf Warning: San Francisco; Southern Monterey Bay and Big Sur Coast; Coastal North Bay Including Point Reyes National Seashore; San Francisco Peninsula Coast; Northern Monterey Bay, until 15 Nov 12:00Z
Freeze Warning: Marion; Baxter; Fulton; Sharp; Randolph; Stone; Izard; Independence; Lawrence; Cleburne; Boone County Except Southwest; Newton County Higher Elevations; Searcy County Lower Elevations; Southeast Van Buren County; Boone County Higher Elevations; Newton County Lower Elevations; Northwest Searcy County Higher Elevations; Van Buren County Higher Elevations; Eastern, Central, and Southern Searcy County Higher Elevations, until 14:00Z
Freeze Warning: Benton; Carroll; Washington; Madison; Washington; Nowata; Craig; Ottawa; Rogers; Mayes; Delaware; Cherokee; Adair; Western Osage; Northeast Osage, until 14:00Z
Freeze Warning: Northampton; Hertford; Richmond; Brunswick; Dinwiddie; Prince George; Charles City; New Kent; Greensville; Sussex; Surry; James City; Southampton; Eastern Hanover; Western Chesterfield; Eastern Chesterfield (Including Col. Heights); Western Henrico (Including the City of Richmond); Eastern Henrico; Western King William; Eastern King William; Western King and Queen; Eastern King and Queen; Western Essex; Eastern Essex, until 14 Nov 13:00Z
Freeze Warning: Person; Granville; Vance; Warren; Halifax; Forsyth; Guilford; Alamance; Orange; Durham; Franklin; Davidson; Randolph; Chatham, until 14 Nov 13:00Z
Freeze Warning: Marion; Lamar; Fayette; Winston; Walker; Blount; Etowah; Calhoun; Cherokee; Cleburne; Pickens; Tuscaloosa; Jefferson; Shelby; St. Clair; Talladega; Clay; Randolph; Sumter; Greene; Hale; Perry; Bibb; Chilton; Coosa; Tallapoosa; Chambers; Marengo; Dallas; Autauga; Lowndes; Elmore; Montgomery; Macon; Bullock; Lee; Russell; Pike; Barbour, until 14 Nov 14:00Z
Freeze Warning: Dade; Walker; Catoosa; Whitfield; Murray; Fannin; Gilmer; Union; Towns; Chattooga; Gordon; Pickens; Dawson; Lumpkin; White; Floyd; Bartow; Cherokee; Forsyth; Polk; Paulding; Cobb; Haralson; Carroll; Douglas; Heard; Coweta; Troup; Meriwether; Harris, until 14 Nov 14:00Z
Freeze Warning: Lauderdale; Colbert; Franklin; Lawrence; Limestone; Madison; Morgan; Marshall; Jackson; DeKalb; Cullman, until 14 Nov 14:00Z
Freeze Warning: Bolivar; Sunflower; Leflore; Grenada; Carroll; Montgomery; Webster; Clay; Lowndes; Choctaw; Oktibbeha; Washington; Humphreys; Holmes; Attala; Winston; Noxubee; Sharkey; Yazoo; Madison; Leake; Neshoba; Kemper; Hinds; Rankin; Scott; Newton; Lauderdale; Smith; Jasper; Clarke, until 14 Nov 14:00Z
Freeze Warning: Marion; Lamar; Fayette; Winston; Walker; Blount; Etowah; Calhoun; Cherokee; Cleburne; Pickens; Tuscaloosa; Jefferson; Shelby; St. Clair; Talladega; Clay; Randolph; Sumter; Greene; Hale; Perry; Bibb; Chilton; Coosa; Tallapoosa; Chambers; Marengo; Dallas; Autauga; Lowndes; Elmore; Montgomery; Macon; Bullock; Lee; Russell; Pike; Barbour, until 15 Nov 14:00Z
Freeze Warning: Lauderdale; Colbert; Franklin; Lawrence; Limestone; Madison; Morgan; Marshall; Jackson; DeKalb; Cullman, until 15 Nov 14:00Z
Freeze Warning: Bolivar; Sunflower; Leflore; Grenada; Carroll; Montgomery; Webster; Clay; Lowndes; Choctaw; Oktibbeha; Washington; Humphreys; Holmes; Attala; Winston; Noxubee; Sharkey; Yazoo; Madison; Leake; Neshoba; Kemper; Hinds; Rankin; Scott; Newton; Lauderdale; Smith; Jasper; Clarke, until 15 Nov 14:00Z
Mesoscale Discussion 2453: Southern California Coast

Briefing details · Where, When, Main hazards

Friday briefing

National maximum: General Thunderstorms

This is the outlook, a forecast. Warnings in force here are listed above it and outrank it.

SPC: “Encloses a 10% or higher probability of thunderstorms.” SPC’s definitions

Where

The general thunderstorms area reaches parts of 5 states; the map shows where.

Which states 5

Parts of Arizona, California, New Mexico, Oregon and Texas. Touching a state is not covering it: the map shows how much of each.

When

Timing, approximate: SPC’s summary: “Severe thunderstorms are not forecast across the U.S. today and tonight.”

Outlook valid 12:00Z to 14 Nov 12:00Z: the period it covers, not when storms arrive.

Main hazards

Tornadoes: under 2% everywhere: SPC drew no area.
Damaging wind: under 5% everywhere: SPC drew no area.
Large hail: under 5% everywhere: SPC drew no area.

Prepare

There is no safe place outside when thunderstorms are in the area. … When Thunder Roars, Go Indoors. NWS

In the National Weather Service’s words, from weather.gov.

Official discussion

SPC Day 1 Convective Outlook narrative, issued 05:11Z · Data: NOAA/SPC

000
ACUS01 KWNS 130511
SWODY1
SPC AC 130510

Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1110 PM CST Thu Nov 12 2026

Valid 131200Z - 141200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not forecast across the U.S. today and
tonight.

...Synopsis...

An upper shortwave trough near the California coast this morning
will shift east toward the southern Rockies by Saturday morning.
Cooling aloft will support weak instability across portions of
southern AZ/NM to Far West TX. Boundary layer moisture is expected
to remain modest, with the dewpoints generally in the 40s and 50s F.
This will support scattered thunderstorms during the afternoon
across southern AZ/NM, spreading eastward toward southwest TX by
late afternoon/early evening. Southerly deep-layer flow is forecast,
with effective shear magnitudes generally around 20-25 kt. Modest
shear and instability will likely limit severe potential, though
gusty winds and small hail could occur with the strongest storms. 

Additional thunderstorms are possible across portions of coastal OR
into northern/central CA as a second upper shortwave trough moves
inland across the Pacific Northwest and Great Basin. A lightning
flash or two is possible during the nighttime hours from central CA
into the Great Basin, but overall coverage is expected to remain
less than 10 percent.

..Leitman/Chalmers.. 11/13/2026

$$

SPC’s outlook page

Forecast details

SPC’s categorical outlook rates the coverage and intensity of organized severe storms on five levels, from Marginal (1) to High (5); “Thunderstorms” outlines a 10% or greater chance of thunderstorms and is not a severe category. Each probability is the chance of that hazard within 25 miles of a point during the valid period. An intensity overlay marks where significant severe hazards are more likely should storms occur. An outlook is a forecast; a warning means a storm is happening or imminent. SPC’s definitions.

Coming days · National

2026-11-13Severe storms: No severe area outlinedFlash flooding: No excessive-rainfall area outlined 2026-11-14Severe storms: No severe area outlinedFlash flooding: Marginal (1 of 4)2026-11-15Severe storms: Marginal (1 of 5)Flash flooding: Marginal (1 of 4)

These are daily outlooks, not arrival times. Days 4–8 retain SPC’s predictability and potential-too-low wording in the dated outlook controls.

Watches & discussions

No active watches

1 mesoscale discussion

Discussion 2453: Southern California Coast, valid until 13:15Z. Chance SPC issues a watch: 5% (the chance a watch is issued, not the chance of a storm; no watch is in force from it)

Watches in the Live tracker Discussions in the Live tracker

What a watch and a discussion are

A watch says conditions favour severe storms over a wide area for hours; a warning means one is happening or imminent. A mesoscale discussion is the Storm Prediction Center’s note on an area it is watching, which may or may not lead to a watch.

Flash-flood risk

WPC outlines no excessive rainfall area for this period. WPC’s Excessive Rainfall Outlook: a separate forecast with its own scale.

View flash-flood risk

Recent reports

Reporting period: 12Z 13 Nov – 12Z 14 Nov

0 tornado · 0 wind · 0 hail

Preliminary reports: a count of reports, not of storms. None reported is not proof that nothing happened.

View reports: map, table & download

Warnings nationwide

34 warnings in 17 states

34 distinct warnings in effect. The Live tracker lists every one with its full text; the most urgent are here too.

NWS alerts checked 12:25Z · Data: NOAA/NWS

Since 11:26Z: no change in the warnings.

Storms 0

None in effect.

Flooding 10

Other weather 24

Most warnings by state

Every warning, most urgent first, in the Live tracker

Not an official warning service. Warnings and watches are the National Weather Service’s, outlooks and reports the Storm Prediction Center’s and the Weather Prediction Center’s (Data: NOAA/NWS, NOAA/SPC, NOAA/WPC). When a warning is issued for you, act on it, and use weather.gov or a NOAA Weather Radio for where you are.