Weather Center: New York

Current alerts

1 winter storm warning touches New York. 1 winter storm warning (touching New York)

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NWS alerts checked 12:07Z · Data: NOAA/NWS

Sources & update times

SPC Day 1 outlook issued 05:10Z · Data: NOAA/SPC

SPC Day 2 outlook issued 06:57Z · Data: NOAA/SPC

SPC Day 3 outlook issued 08:28Z · Data: NOAA/SPC

SPC discussions checked 12:07Z · Data: NOAA/SPC

SPC storm reports checked 12:05Z · Data: NOAA/SPC

WPC Day 1 outlook checked 12:05Z · Data: NOAA/WPC

WPC Day 2 outlook issued 08:00Z · Data: NOAA/WPC

WPC Day 3 outlook issued 08:00Z · Data: NOAA/WPC

Each feed is judged on its own clock. The masthead’s reading is the site’s publishing health, which is a different thing: a publishing delay does not make a freshly read warning stale, and a fresh check does not make an old outlook newly issued.

NWS warnings / WPC selected forecast: feeds current

NWS warnings: Feed current; checked 12:07Z.

WPC selected forecast: Feed current; checked 12:05Z.

Checked means retrieved, not newly issued. Each graphic retains its issue, observation, initialization or valid time. Site publishing status is separate.

Hazard & forecast product

WPC Day 1 Excessive Rainfall Outlook, Friday 13 Nov

Source: WPC

Forecast: WPC’s scale

No risk area is outlined for this period

View scale

1 · Marginal (not outlined)
2 · Slight (not outlined)
3 · Moderate (not outlined)
4 · High (not outlined)

In force now

Winter Storm Warning 1
Coastal Flood Warning outside New York

WPC Day 1 Excessive Rainfall Outlook, valid 12:00Z to 14 Nov 12:00Z · Data: NOAA/WPC. Warnings and watches are as of 12:07Z (now), not for the outlook’s period.

Everything on the map, as a list

WPC Day 1 Excessive Rainfall Outlook: No excessive rainfall risk area outlined
Winter Storm Warning: Otsego, until 18:00Z
Outside New York, for context: Coastal Flood Warning: Ocean; Coastal Ocean, until 20:00Z

Briefing details · Where, When, Main hazards

Friday briefing for New York

Highest anywhere in New York: no area outlined

This is the outlook, a forecast. Warnings in force here are listed above it and outrank it.

The highest category anywhere in the state, from its outline; not every point in it.

When: Outlook valid 12:00Z to 14 Nov 12:00Z: the period it covers, not when storms arrive.
Prepare: A warning is in force here: follow its instructions in Current alerts first.
Rain and rivers: Expected rain: 0.25 in or more at its highest in New York, in WPC’s forecast for the 24 hours 12:00Z to 14 Nov 12:00Z. An amount for the area its contour covers, not a total for any one street.
Rain that fell: 4 to 6 in at its highest in New York, in the 24 hours to 11:00Z, by MRMS’s radar estimate over a grid about 5 km across: a measurement of the past, not corrected to rain gauges.
Rivers: 1 gauge in flood in New York, by NWS’s lists read 12:05Z. Minor flooding Fort Pond Bay at Montauk (IN MLLW), NY. Not flooding now: observed below action stage (where officials start to act), or not reporting. Listed for its forecast. Forecast issued 12 Nov 20:04Z · crest 4.1 ft at 16:00Z · below flood stage (4.1 ft) by 18:00Z: minor flooding. A gauge measures its river at that spot, not whether a road or a neighbourhood floods.
Three sources, each its own window. None is a chance of flash flooding, which is WPC’s outlook above; a flash flood is a warning’s. Gauges in the Live tracker

Official discussion

WPC’s discussion covers the whole country, not New York alone.

WPC Excessive Rainfall Discussion, Day 1, issued 08:15Z · Data: NOAA/WPC

The probability of rainfall exceeding flash flood guidance is less
than 5 percent.

Bann

WPC’s outlook page

Forecast details

The chance that rainfall exceeds flash flood guidance within 40 km (25 miles) of a point during the valid period, as WPC defines its categories. Marginal is at least 5%, Slight 15%, Moderate 40% and High 70%. WPC’s categories are separate from SPC’s severe-storm categories, and an outlook category is not a warning: a Flash Flood Warning means flooding is happening or imminent. WPC’s definitions.

Coming days · New York

2026-11-13Severe storms: No severe area outlinedFlash flooding: No excessive-rainfall area outlined 2026-11-14Severe storms: No severe area outlinedFlash flooding: No excessive-rainfall area outlined 2026-11-15Severe storms: No severe area outlinedFlash flooding: No excessive-rainfall area outlined

These are daily outlooks, not arrival times. Days 4–8 retain SPC’s predictability and potential-too-low wording in the dated outlook controls.

Severe storms

General thunderstorms at its highest nationally. SPC’s convective outlook, on its own scale.

View severe outlook

River flooding

1 gauge in flood in New York, observed or forecast.

Minor flooding Fort Pond Bay at Montauk (IN MLLW), NY (forecast)

A gauge measures its river at that spot; it does not say whether a particular road or neighbourhood floods. Flash flooding is in the warnings.

Gauges in the Live tracker

Recent reports

Reporting period: 12Z 12 Nov – 12Z 13 Nov

0 tornado · 0 wind · 0 hail in New York

Preliminary reports: a count of reports, not of storms. None reported is not proof that nothing happened.

View reports: map, table & download

No watches or mesoscale discussions in New York. National context: one other mesoscale discussion is in force outside New York. Watches, discussions and warnings in the Live tracker

Warnings in New York

1 warning touching New York

1 warning touches New York, most urgent first. A warning across a state line is counted here and in the other state.

NWS alerts checked 12:07Z · Data: NOAA/NWS

Since 11:08Z: no change in the warnings.

Warnings 1

Winter storm Otsego until 18:00Z Track: Winter Storm Warning, Otsego

All 1 warning touching New York, with their full text, in the Live tracker

33 warnings elsewhere in the country: the national list. Track New York live

Not an official warning service. Warnings and watches are the National Weather Service’s, outlooks and reports the Storm Prediction Center’s and the Weather Prediction Center’s (Data: NOAA/NWS, NOAA/SPC, NOAA/WPC). When a warning is issued for you, act on it, and use weather.gov or a NOAA Weather Radio for where you are.

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